Recent Performance — Last 5 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $1,663 | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2026-07-30 | $1,675 | +0.7% | -3.6% |
| 2026-07-31 close | $1,716 | 0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2026-08-03 | $1,716 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2026-08-04 ◀ Today | $1,784 | +4.0% | +4.0% |
Today = vs the Aug 3 published unit ($1,716). Live opening marks (Tue, near the open ~7:34 MDT); daily move is vs Monday's published update; August MTD starts from Friday's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,715.73).
Baseline note (Aug 4): today’s move is measured against the Aug 3 published update ($1,716); August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,716. July is locked closed in the monthly table.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $443.63 | +5.9% | +32.8% | 24.9% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $210.79 | +5.5% | +14.0% | 11.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $181.10 | +3.8% | +2.0% | 10.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $57.44 | -2.2% | +17.4% | 9.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.81 | +1.4% | +2.7% | 8.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $50.35 | +0.3% | -2.8% | 8.5% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $42.10 | +8.0% | -25.6% | 7.1% | HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $31.36 | +1.3% | -16.8% | 7.0% | WATCH 👀 |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $122.53 | +11.2% | -55.1% | 6.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $95.03 | +3.6% | -41.0% | 5.3% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Aug 3 published unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Tue, near the open ~7:34 MDT); daily move is vs Monday's published update; August MTD starts from Friday's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense35.0%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy23.6%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin17.1%
- 🌎 International17.2%
- 🏦 Long Bonds7.0%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 35.0% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $443.63 | $443.63 | 24.9% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $181.10 | $181.10 | 10.2% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 23.6% | |||||
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $57.44 | $172.32 | 9.7% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $42.10 | $126.30 | 7.1% |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $122.53 | $122.53 | 6.9% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 17.1% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $210.79 | $210.79 | 11.8% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $95.03 | $95.03 | 5.3% |
| 🌎 International — 17.2% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $77.81 | $155.63 | 8.7% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $50.35 | $151.06 | 8.5% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 7.0% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $31.36 | $125.46 | 7.0% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,784 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -1.3% | +4.0%▲ | — | -7.1% | |||
▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Safe Growth is marked at $1,784 near the open, up +4.0% versus Monday's published update and +4.0% for August. This is a broad rebound: ETN, NVDA, NUGT, URA, and PPA are doing the heavy lifting, while XLE is closer to flat and TMF is not the driver today.
The key change from yesterday is participation. The AI rally is no longer only about the giant buyers of compute; it is spreading back into the suppliers, industrials, defense, uranium, and gold-miner sleeves that give SG multiple ways to recover when risk appetite improves.
Oil relief is a mixed read for this book. Lower crude can help inflation expectations and risk appetite, but it can also cap XLE if energy cools. That is why today's SG move matters: the gain is not dependent on energy; it is coming from diversified growth and hard-asset exposure.
Bottom line: SG is recovering with breadth, not a single-position bailout. No trade is needed before this update. We want the open to hold, but the book is finally getting paid for staying diversified through last week's AI and commodity volatility.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.