Recent Performance — Last 5 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $746 | 0.0% | -25.6% |
| 2026-07-30 | $770 | +3.2% | -23.3% |
| 2026-07-31 close | $1,257 | 0.0% | -22.0% |
| 2026-08-03 | $1,203 | -4.3% | -4.3% |
| 2026-08-04 ◀ Today | $1,378 | +14.6% | +9.6% |
Today = vs the Aug 3 published unit ($1,203). Live opening marks (Tue, near the open ~7:34 MDT); daily move is vs Monday's published update; August MTD starts from Friday's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,257.26). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.
Baseline note (Aug 4): today’s move is measured against the Aug 3 published update ($1,203); August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,257 for the current whole-share model. July is locked closed in the monthly table.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Fill | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $95.03 | +3.6% | +0.3% | 27.6% | HOLD ✅ |
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | $71.27 | +11.0% | -5.2% | 20.7% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | $132.71 | +28.4% | -26.1% | 19.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| BE | AI Power | $226.76 | +17.1% | +10.5% | 16.4% | NEW BUY ✅ |
| NBIS | AI Compute Cloud | $221.11 | +23.9% | +28.4% | 16.0% | NEW BUY ✅ |
Today = vs the Aug 3 published mark for positions already held. Since Fill = vs SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78 / BE $205.15 / NBIS $172.19. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Tue, near the open ~7:34 MDT); daily move is vs Monday's published update; August MTD starts from Friday's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🤖 Semiconductors19.2%
- 💻 Broad Tech20.7%
- ₿ Bitcoin27.6%
- ⚡ AI Power16.4%
- ☁️ AI Compute Cloud16.0%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🤖 Semiconductors — 19.2% | |||||
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | 2 | $132.71 | $265.42 | 19.2% |
| 💻 Broad Tech — 20.7% | |||||
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | 4 | $71.27 | $285.08 | 20.7% |
| ₿ Bitcoin — 27.6% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 4 | $95.03 | $380.12 | 27.6% |
| ⚡ AI Power — 16.4% | |||||
| BE | AI Power | 1 | $226.76 | $226.76 | 16.4% |
| ☁️ AI Compute Cloud — 16.0% | |||||
| NBIS | AI Compute Cloud | 1 | $221.11 | $221.11 | 16.0% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,378 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | +127 | +17 | -11 | +29 | -20 | +1 | +6 | +22 | -3 | +34 | -0 | -19 | 234% |
| 22 | +10 | -4 | +25 | +4 | -8 | -17 | +32 | +1 | -15 | +14 | -13 | +34 | -12% |
| 23 | +15 | +1 | +13 | -9 | +21 | +1 | +7 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +27 | +23 | 131% |
| 24 | -8 | +22 | +15 | -16 | +13 | -7 | +0 | -10 | +8 | -0 | +32 | -2 | 43% |
| 25 | +8 | -23 | -18 | +3 | +14 | +19 | -9 | +14 | +27 | -12 | -10 | -2 | 3% |
| 26 | +6%* | -16%* | -13%* | +25.5% | +12.3% | -10.4% | -22.0% | +9.6%▲ | — | -15.8% | |||
▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
High Risk is marked at $1,378 on the current whole-share model, up +14.6% versus Monday's published update. August MTD is now +9.6% and 2026 YTD is -15.8% on the performance chain. The catch-up is exactly where we needed it: NBIS, BE, SOXL, TQQQ, and MSTR are all green near the open.
Yesterday's hyperscaler rally was the demand signal; today the infrastructure side is catching up. The market is starting to treat AI spending as durable again, which directly supports the current mix of semiconductors, broad tech, bitcoin beta, AI power, and AI compute cloud exposure.
The caution is still volatility. SOXL is a 3x semiconductor position coming out of a crisis-level July drawdown, so one strong open is constructive but not a completed repair. We want to see buyers defend the move after the first wave of short-covering and forced re-risking.
Bottom line: HR is getting the rebound it was positioned for after the forced-selling washout. No portfolio change before this update; the watch is whether SOXL, BE, and NBIS can hold the bid while TQQQ and MSTR confirm broader risk appetite.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Risk Disclosure
High Risk holds leveraged and crypto-linked positions: SOXL (3x semiconductors) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher — they can lose value fast. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31, 2026 · Initial entries (2) | ||||
| BE · AI Data-Center Power | BUY | $205.15 | 1 | Open |
| NBIS · AI Compute Cloud | BUY | $172.19 | 1 | Open |
| July 14, 2026 · Rotation (11) | ||||
| MRVL · AI Chips | CLOSE | $231.57 | 1 | +178.7% |
| VST · Power/AI | CLOSE | $161.00 | 1 | +0.4% |
| RKLB · Space | CLOSE | $78.76 | 1 | -10.5% |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | CLOSE | $123.61 | 1 | -25.5% |
| IONQ · Quantum | CLOSE | $40.04 | 2 | -18.8% |
| UEC · Uranium | CLOSE | $10.30 | 4 | -48.1% |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | CLOSE | $15.42 | 3 | -46.6% |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | CLOSE | $46.96 | 1 | -48.4% |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | ADD | $94.78 | 3 | Open |
| SOXL · 3x Semiconductors | BUY | $179.62 | 2 | Open |
| TQQQ · 3x Nasdaq-100 | BUY | $75.19 | 4 | Open |
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (9) | ||||
| VST · Power/AI | BUY | $160.36 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | BUY | $165.90 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MRVL · AI Chips | BUY | $83.10 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | BUY | $28.90 | 3 | Closed Jul 14 |
| RKLB · Space | BUY | $87.98 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| IONQ · Quantum | BUY | $49.33 | 2 | Closed Jul 14 |
| UEC · Uranium | BUY | $19.86 | 4 | Closed Jul 14 |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | BUY | $90.93 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.