Recent Performance — Last 5 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | $1,673 | -3.0% | -3.7% |
| 2026-07-29 | $1,663 | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2026-07-30 | $1,675 | +0.7% | -3.6% |
| 2026-07-31 close | $1,716 | 0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2026-08-03 ◀ Today | $1,716 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Today = vs the Jul 31 close unit ($1,716). Live opening marks (Mon, near the open ~7:32 MDT); August MTD starts from Friday's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,715.73).
Baseline note (Aug 3): today’s move and August MTD are measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,716. July is now locked closed in the monthly table.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $418.98 | +0.9% | +25.4% | 24.4% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $199.71 | -0.5% | +8.0% | 11.6% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $58.75 | -1.3% | +20.1% | 10.3% | HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $174.44 | 0.0% | -1.7% | 10.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $76.70 | -0.1% | +1.2% | 8.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $50.19 | +0.8% | -3.1% | 8.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $30.95 | +1.2% | -17.9% | 7.2% | WATCH 👀 |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $39.00 | -0.2% | -31.1% | 6.8% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $110.20 | -0.6% | -59.6% | 6.4% | HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $91.70 | -1.7% | -43.0% | 5.3% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Jul 31 close unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Mon, near the open ~7:32 MDT); August MTD starts from Friday's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense34.6%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy23.5%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin17.0%
- 🌎 International17.7%
- 🏦 Long Bonds7.2%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 34.6% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $418.98 | $418.98 | 24.4% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $174.44 | $174.44 | 10.2% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 23.5% | |||||
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $58.75 | $176.25 | 10.3% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $39.00 | $117.00 | 6.8% |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $110.20 | $110.20 | 6.4% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 17.0% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $199.71 | $199.71 | 11.6% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $91.70 | $91.70 | 5.3% |
| 🌎 International — 17.7% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $76.70 | $153.40 | 8.9% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $50.19 | $150.56 | 8.8% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 7.2% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $30.95 | $123.82 | 7.2% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,716 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -1.3% | 0.0%▲ | — | -10.6% | |||
▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Safe Growth is marked at $1,716 near the open, essentially flat at 0.0% versus Friday's official month-end close. July is now locked closed at -1.3%; August starts at 0.0%. That flat headline is real: ETN, TMF, and INDA are offsetting MSTR, XLE, NVDA, and NUGT weakness.
The overnight macro story is bigger than one ticker. The U.S. and Japan reportedly stepped into the currency market to buy yen after the yen fell toward 1980s-type stress levels. Translation: policymakers are trying to stop FX volatility from turning into a bond/liquidity event. That helps explain why the market is rewarding balance and duration hedges rather than blindly chasing chip beta.
Korea is the pressure point. KOSPI fell 5.1%, Samsung and SK Hynix dropped about 8.8%, and foreign plus institutional sellers dumped roughly 4.8 trillion won while retail absorbed the flow. That is forced positioning and profit-taking after a violent rebound, not a clean read that AI demand died.
The Trump/TACO angle is relief, not resolution. Markets are treating tariff deadline noise as potentially delayed or negotiable, but the tariff wall is still real and still inflationary. Bottom line: SG is doing its job today — flat in a messy tape, diversified enough to absorb a semi-specific shock, and no trade needed this morning.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Monday, August 3, 2026
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.