Recent Performance — Last 6 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1,726 | -0.4% | -0.7% |
| 2026-07-27 | $1,726 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2026-07-28 | $1,673 | -3.0% | -3.7% |
| 2026-07-29 | $1,663 | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2026-07-30 | $1,675 | +0.7% | -3.6% |
| 2026-07-31 ◀ Today | $1,681 | +0.3% | -3.3% |
Today = vs the Jul 30 published unit ($1,675). Live intraday marks (Fri, near the open ~7:45 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly. Jul MTD vs Jun 30 close ($1,738.14).
Baseline note (Jul 31): today’s move is measured against the Jul 30 published unit of $1,675 — the same figure shown in yesterday’s update, so the number you last saw carries forward with no basis step.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $399.82 | +4.6% | +19.7% | 23.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $196.29 | +0.9% | +6.2% | 11.7% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $58.51 | +0.5% | +19.6% | 10.4% | HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $171.74 | +1.0% | -3.2% | 10.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $76.65 | -0.1% | +1.2% | 9.1% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $49.69 | +0.1% | -4.1% | 8.9% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $30.43 | -1.7% | -19.3% | 7.2% | WATCH 👀 |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $38.64 | -1.4% | -31.7% | 6.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $107.81 | -5.4% | -60.5% | 6.4% | HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $89.81 | -6.6% | -44.2% | 5.3% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Jul 30 published unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live intraday marks (Fri, near the open ~7:45 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense34.0%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy23.8%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin17.0%
- 🌎 International18.0%
- 🏦 Long Bonds7.2%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 34.0% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $399.82 | $399.82 | 23.8% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $171.74 | $171.74 | 10.2% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 23.8% | |||||
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $58.51 | $175.54 | 10.4% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $38.64 | $115.92 | 6.9% |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $107.81 | $107.81 | 6.4% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 17.0% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $196.29 | $196.29 | 11.7% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $89.81 | $89.81 | 5.3% |
| 🌎 International — 18.0% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $76.65 | $153.30 | 9.1% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $49.69 | $149.06 | 8.9% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 7.2% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $30.43 | $121.72 | 7.2% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,681 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -3.3%▲ | — | -12.4% | ||||
▲ Current month through today; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Safe Growth is marked at $1,681 a unit this morning, or +0.3% versus the $1,675 figure investors saw in yesterday's email. This is measured from the printed update price, not close-to-close. Safe Growth is unchanged today: no sells, no adds, and no new risk layer.
The tape is now separating the AI beneficiaries from the AI spenders. Power, compute availability, and chip capacity are being rewarded because those are the bottlenecks if demand keeps accelerating. SG already has infrastructure, AI chips, energy, metals, international exposure, and the bond hedge, so we are not forcing a trade just because High Risk is deploying cash.
The risk side has not disappeared. Hyperscalers are still carrying the capex bill, free cash flow is still under scrutiny, and rates are still not a clean tailwind. That is why SG stays diversified rather than chasing the most volatile names at the open.
Bottom line: Safe Growth stays the steady book. We are letting the existing positions work and keeping today’s trade activity isolated to High Risk, where the mandate allows concentrated exposure to the AI bottleneck theme.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Friday, July 31, 2026
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.