| TRADE EXECUTED TODAY — CASH DEPLOYED High Risk bought BE and NBIS at today’s open . The model now matches the calculator whole-share basket: 2 SOXL / 4 TQQQ / 4 MSTR / 1 BE / 1 NBIS. Yesterday this sleeve was CASH; today we converted it into one whole BE share and one whole NBIS share. Buy Shares Fill Live Weight BE 1 $205.15 $212.68 17.1% NBIS 1 $172.19 $188.79 15.1% Open High Risk Calculator → |
Recent Performance — Last 6 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $819 | -3.6% | -18.4% |
| 2026-07-27 | $815 | -0.5% | -18.8% |
| 2026-07-28 | $746 | -8.4% | -25.6% |
| 2026-07-29 | $746 | 0.0% | -25.6% |
| 2026-07-30 | $770 | +3.2% | -23.3% |
| 2026-07-31 ◀ Today | $1,248 | +0.7% | -22.6% |
Today = vs the Jul 30 published unit ($1,239). Live intraday marks (Fri, near the open ~7:45 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly. Jul MTD vs Jun 30 close ($1,003.19). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.
Baseline note (Jul 31): today’s move is measured against the Jul 30 published unit of $1,239 — the same figure shown in yesterday’s update, so the number you last saw carries forward with no basis step.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Fill | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $89.81 | -6.6% | -5.2% | 28.8% | HOLD ✅ |
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | $63.14 | +1.3% | -16.0% | 20.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | $117.17 | +3.0% | -34.8% | 18.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| BE | AI Power | $212.68 | NEW TODAY | 0.0% | 17.1% | NEW BUY ✅ |
| NBIS | AI Compute Cloud | $188.79 | NEW TODAY | 0.0% | 15.1% | NEW BUY ✅ |
Today = vs the Jul 30 published unit for positions already held. BE/NBIS show NEW TODAY because they were cash yesterday; Since Fill is reset to 0.0% on today’s whole-share model entry. Since Fill = vs SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78 / BE $205.15 / NBIS $172.19. Weight = % of unit. Live intraday marks (Fri, near the open ~7:45 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🤖 Semiconductors18.8%
- 💻 Broad Tech20.2%
- ₿ Bitcoin28.8%
- ⚡ AI Power17.1%
- ☁️ AI Compute Cloud15.1%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🤖 Semiconductors — 18.8% | |||||
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | 2 | $117.17 | $234.33 | 18.8% |
| 💻 Broad Tech — 20.2% | |||||
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | 4 | $63.14 | $252.56 | 20.2% |
| ₿ Bitcoin — 28.8% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 4 | $89.81 | $359.26 | 28.8% |
| ⚡ AI Power — 17.1% | |||||
| BE | AI Power | 1 | $212.68 | $212.68 | 17.1% |
| ☁️ AI Compute Cloud — 15.1% | |||||
| NBIS | AI Compute Cloud | 1 | $188.79 | $188.79 | 15.1% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,248 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | +127 | +17 | -11 | +29 | -20 | +1 | +6 | +22 | -3 | +34 | -0 | -19 | 234% |
| 22 | +10 | -4 | +25 | +4 | -8 | -17 | +32 | +1 | -15 | +14 | -13 | +34 | -12% |
| 23 | +15 | +1 | +13 | -9 | +21 | +1 | +7 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +27 | +23 | 131% |
| 24 | -8 | +22 | +15 | -16 | +13 | -7 | +0 | -10 | +8 | -0 | +32 | -2 | 43% |
| 25 | +8 | -23 | -18 | +3 | +14 | +19 | -9 | +14 | +27 | -12 | -10 | -2 | 3% |
| 26 | +6%* | -16%* | -13%* | +25.5% | +12.3% | -10.4% | -22.6%▲ | — | -23.7% | ||||
▲ Current month through today; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
High Risk is marked at $1,248 a unit this morning, or +0.7% versus the $770 figure printed in yesterday's email. July MTD is -22.6% and YTD is -23.7%. Yesterday the book still held the cash sleeve; today that cash was deployed at the open, so BE and NBIS are new entries as of this update.
Trade 1: we bought BE at $205.15, adding one whole BE share. Bloom Energy is the power bottleneck trade. If AI demand keeps climbing but data centers cannot get enough grid interconnects, transformers, and reliable onsite power, the companies that solve time-to-power become the toll booth.
Trade 2: we bought NBIS at $172.19 adding one whole NBIS share. Nebius is the compute-capacity trade. If GPU demand outruns available hyperscaler capacity, customers rent from whoever can bring AI compute online fastest. That is higher risk than BE, but it is closer to the scarce-capacity upside we want.
The reason we are not adding hyperscalers directly is simple: Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta confirm demand, but they are also writing the capex checks. Until free cash flow improves, the cleaner short-term expression is the supplier/scarcity layer: BE for power and NBIS for compute capacity, while SOXL/TQQQ/MSTR remain the high-beta core.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Friday, July 31, 2026
Risk Disclosure
High Risk holds leveraged and crypto-linked positions: SOXL (3x semiconductors) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher — they can lose value fast. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31, 2026 · Initial entries (2) | ||||
| BE · AI Data-Center Power | BUY | $205.15 | 1 | Open |
| NBIS · AI Compute Cloud | BUY | $172.19 | 1 | Open |
| July 14, 2026 · Rotation (11) | ||||
| MRVL · AI Chips | CLOSE | $231.57 | 1 | +178.7% |
| VST · Power/AI | CLOSE | $161.00 | 1 | +0.4% |
| RKLB · Space | CLOSE | $78.76 | 1 | -10.5% |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | CLOSE | $123.61 | 1 | -25.5% |
| IONQ · Quantum | CLOSE | $40.04 | 2 | -18.8% |
| UEC · Uranium | CLOSE | $10.30 | 4 | -48.1% |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | CLOSE | $15.42 | 3 | -46.6% |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | CLOSE | $46.96 | 1 | -48.4% |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | ADD | $94.78 | 3 | Open |
| SOXL · 3x Semiconductors | BUY | $179.62 | 2 | Open |
| TQQQ · 3x Nasdaq-100 | BUY | $75.19 | 4 | Open |
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (9) | ||||
| VST · Power/AI | BUY | $160.36 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | BUY | $165.90 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MRVL · AI Chips | BUY | $83.10 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | BUY | $28.90 | 3 | Closed Jul 14 |
| RKLB · Space | BUY | $87.98 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| IONQ · Quantum | BUY | $49.33 | 2 | Closed Jul 14 |
| UEC · Uranium | BUY | $19.86 | 4 | Closed Jul 14 |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | BUY | $90.93 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.