Recent Performance — Last 6 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | $1,728 | +0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2026-07-15 | $1,728 | -0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2026-07-16 | $1,684 | -2.5% | -3.1% |
| 2026-07-17 | $1,660 | -1.4% | -4.5% |
| 2026-07-20 | $1,697 | +2.2% | -2.4% |
| 2026-07-21 ◀ Today | $1,702 | +0.3% | -2.1% |
Today = vs the Jul 20 published unit ($1,697). Live intraday marks (Tue, near the open ~7:44 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly. Jul MTD vs Jun 30 close ($1,738.14).
Baseline note (Jul 21): today’s move is measured against the Jul 20 published unit of $1,697 — the same figure shown in yesterday’s update, so the number you last saw carries forward with no basis step.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $404.97 | +0.1% | +21.2% | 23.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $206.89 | +0.4% | +11.9% | 12.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $58.12 | +0.3% | +18.8% | 10.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $166.60 | -1.4% | -6.1% | 9.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $75.02 | -0.8% | -1.0% | 8.8% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $48.72 | 0.0% | -6.0% | 8.6% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $32.09 | -2.5% | -14.9% | 7.5% | WATCH 👀 |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $39.33 | +1.6% | -30.5% | 6.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $106.29 | +4.1% | -61.1% | 6.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $100.75 | +4.9% | -37.4% | 5.9% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Jul 20 published unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live intraday marks (Tue, near the open ~7:44 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense33.6%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy23.4%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin18.1%
- 🌎 International17.4%
- 🏦 Long Bonds7.5%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 33.6% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $404.97 | $404.97 | 23.8% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $166.60 | $166.60 | 9.8% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 23.4% | |||||
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $58.12 | $174.36 | 10.2% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $39.33 | $117.99 | 6.9% |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $106.29 | $106.29 | 6.2% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 18.1% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $206.89 | $206.89 | 12.2% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $100.75 | $100.75 | 5.9% |
| 🌎 International — 17.4% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $75.02 | $150.04 | 8.8% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $48.72 | $146.15 | 8.6% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 7.5% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $32.09 | $128.36 | 7.5% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,702 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -2.1%▲ | — | -11.3% | ||||
▲ Current month through today; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Safe Growth sat roughly flat on Tuesday, up about 0.3%, holding onto Monday's near-2% bounce rather than round-tripping it. It was a mixed, quiet session with winners and losers close to offsetting, which on a day like this is exactly what a ten-sleeve book is built to do: bank the recovery and wait, instead of giving it back.
The crypto and metals sleeves led. MSTR rose near 5% as bitcoin held firm, NUGT added about 4% as gold miners caught a bid, and URA gained roughly 1.6%. NVDA and ETN were quiet after Monday's pop, each holding its gains; ETN is still up about 21% since our January 22 entry, one of the anchors of the book.
The give-back was in the ballast and defense sleeves, which is normal on a risk-steady day. TMF slipped about 2.5% as Treasury yields backed up and cash stayed in risk, and PPA eased around 1.5% while EWW cooled near 0.8% after their recent run. We hold TMF as insurance, so a soft day for it while risk assets hold is the trade-off, not a warning.
Net, the book consolidated. Flat is a good outcome when it means locking in a bounce rather than surrendering it, and the spread of gainers and laggards is the whole point of diversification. The book stands near 2% down on the month and about 11% below the January 22 entry.
No trades. After Friday's forced-selling washout and Monday's rebound, a quiet consolidation day is healthy, and there is no reason to trade around it. We would rather hold the full slate through the noise than chase a single session.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Tuesday, July 21, 2026
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.