Portfolio Builder · Daily Update

High Risk

Monday, August 31, 2026 | Market Update
Entry: $1,018 on Jan 22, 2026 | Cost per unit to follow today: $1,431
-4.1%
Today
+13.8%
August MTD
-12.5%
2026 YTD
$1,431
Unit Value
Daily Update
Both model books are marked every market morning.

Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions

DateUnit ValueDailyMonth MTD
2026-08-26$1,431-0.4%+13.8%
2026-08-27$1,492+4.2%+18.7%
2026-08-28$1,493+0.1%+18.7%
2026-08-31 ◀ Today$1,431-4.1%+13.8%

Today = vs the Aug 28 published unit ($1,493). Live opening marks (Mon, near the open ~7:30 MDT); daily move is vs Friday's (Aug 28) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,257.26). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.

Baseline note (Aug 28): today’s move is measured against the Aug 28 published update ($1,493); August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,257 for the current whole-share model. July is locked closed in the monthly table.

Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight

TickerSectorPriceTodaySince FillWeightSignal
MSTRBitcoin$126.92-5.9%+33.9%35.5%HOLD ✅
TQQQ3x Nasdaq-100$71.46-1.5%-5.0%20.0%HOLD ✅
SOXL3x Semiconductors$113.53-3.7%-36.8%15.9%HOLD ✅
NBISAI Compute Cloud$205.78-2.2%+19.5%14.4%STRONG HOLD ✅
BEAI Power$205.03-5.5%-0.1%14.3%STRONG HOLD ✅

Today = vs the Aug 28 published mark for positions already held. Since Fill = vs SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78 / BE $205.15 / NBIS $172.19. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Mon, near the open ~7:30 MDT); daily move is vs Friday's (Aug 28) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close.

Portfolio Allocation by Category

  • 🤖 Semiconductors15.9%
  • 💻 Broad Tech20.0%
  • ₿ Bitcoin35.5%
  • ⚡ AI Power14.3%
  • ☁️ AI Compute Cloud14.4%
TickerSectorSharesPrice$/UnitWeight
🤖 Semiconductors — 15.9%
SOXL3x Semiconductors2$113.53$227.0615.9%
💻 Broad Tech — 20.0%
TQQQ3x Nasdaq-1004$71.46$285.8420.0%
₿ Bitcoin — 35.5%
MSTRBitcoin4$126.92$507.6835.5%
⚡ AI Power — 14.3%
BEAI Power1$205.03$205.0314.3%
☁️ AI Compute Cloud — 14.4%
NBISAI Compute Cloud1$205.78$205.7814.4%
TOTAL UNIT VALUE$1,431100%

Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)

YrJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
21+127+17-11+29-20+1+6+22-3+34-0-19234%
22+10-4+25+4-8-17+32+1-15+14-13+34-12%
23+15+1+13-9+21+1+7-4-1-0+27+23131%
24-8+22+15-16+13-7+0-10+8-0+32-243%
25+8-23-18+3+14+19-9+14+27-12-10-23%
26+6%*-16%*-13%*+25.5%+12.3%-10.4%-22.0%+13.8%▲—-12.5%

▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.

Calculate Your Position Size

High Risk is marked at $1,431 on the current whole-share model, -4.1% versus Friday's published update. August MTD is +13.8% and 2026 YTD is -12.5% on the performance chain. Same backdrop as Safe Growth: Friday's hawkish Warsh keynote broke the dovish-pivot bet that had bitcoin and MSTR rallying into the speech, and the dollar strengthened into the weekend as a result.

On top of that, US forces struck Iranian targets overnight (first action in a month), which spiked oil and rattled markets broadly before a ceasefire framework proposal calmed things a few hours later. TQQQ (-1.5%) is leading the book, but only in the sense of losing the least — every position here is red this morning, with MSTR unwinding its bitcoin-reclaim bounce and the chip/AI-infra sleeve (SOXL, BE, NBIS) extending Friday's theme of the AI trade getting more selective and now compounded by broad risk-off.

No portfolio change today. NBIS's $4.5 billion convertible note raise from last week remains a dilution item worth watching over time, not an urgent one.

Bottom line: HR is down -4.1% today — a genuinely rough open as the market processes both a hawkish Fed surprise and a fast-moving Iran headline cycle at once. No trade before this update.

Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Monday, August 31, 2026

Risk Disclosure

High Risk holds leveraged and crypto-linked positions: SOXL (3x semiconductors) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher — they can lose value fast. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.

Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History

Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.

TickerActionPriceSh/UnitRealized
July 31, 2026 · Initial entries (2)
BE · AI Data-Center PowerBUY$205.151Open
NBIS · AI Compute CloudBUY$172.191Open
July 14, 2026 · Rotation (11)
MRVL · AI ChipsCLOSE$231.571+178.7%
VST · Power/AICLOSE$161.001+0.4%
RKLB · SpaceCLOSE$78.761-10.5%
PLTR · AI/DefenseCLOSE$123.611-25.5%
IONQ · QuantumCLOSE$40.042-18.8%
UEC · UraniumCLOSE$10.304-48.1%
BMNR · Crypto TreasuryCLOSE$15.423-46.6%
OKLO · Nuclear SMRCLOSE$46.961-48.4%
MSTR · BitcoinADD$94.783Open
SOXL · 3x SemiconductorsBUY$179.622Open
TQQQ · 3x Nasdaq-100BUY$75.194Open
January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (9)
VST · Power/AIBUY$160.361Closed Jul 14
MSTR · BitcoinBUY$160.981Open
PLTR · AI/DefenseBUY$165.901Closed Jul 14
MRVL · AI ChipsBUY$83.101Closed Jul 14
BMNR · Crypto TreasuryBUY$28.903Closed Jul 14
RKLB · SpaceBUY$87.981Closed Jul 14
IONQ · QuantumBUY$49.332Closed Jul 14
UEC · UraniumBUY$19.864Closed Jul 14
OKLO · Nuclear SMRBUY$90.931Closed Jul 14

Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.

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This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.