Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | $1,360 | -5.4% | +8.1% |
| 2026-08-20 | $1,395 | +2.6% | +10.9% |
| 2026-08-21 | $1,432 | +2.6% | +13.9% |
| 2026-08-24 ◀ Today | $1,377 | -3.9% | +9.5% |
Today = vs the Aug 18 published unit ($1,432). Live opening marks (Mon, near the open ~7:30 MDT); daily move is vs Friday's (Aug 21) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,257.26). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.
Baseline note (Aug 24): today’s move is measured against the Aug 21 published update ($1,432); August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,257 for the current whole-share model. July is locked closed in the monthly table.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Fill | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $122.33 | +3.5% | +29.1% | 35.5% | HOLD ✅ |
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | $68.44 | -3.2% | -9.0% | 19.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | $107.32 | -12.4% | -40.2% | 15.6% | HOLD ✅ |
| NBIS | AI Compute Cloud | $204.97 | -10.0% | +19.0% | 14.9% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| BE | AI Power | $193.89 | -4.9% | -5.5% | 14.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Aug 18 published mark for positions already held. Since Fill = vs SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78 / BE $205.15 / NBIS $172.19. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Mon, near the open ~7:30 MDT); daily move is vs Friday's (Aug 21) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🤖 Semiconductors15.6%
- 💻 Broad Tech19.9%
- ₿ Bitcoin35.5%
- ⚡ AI Power14.1%
- ☁️ AI Compute Cloud14.9%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🤖 Semiconductors — 15.6% | |||||
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | 2 | $107.32 | $214.64 | 15.6% |
| 💻 Broad Tech — 19.9% | |||||
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | 4 | $68.44 | $273.74 | 19.9% |
| ₿ Bitcoin — 35.5% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 4 | $122.33 | $489.32 | 35.5% |
| ⚡ AI Power — 14.1% | |||||
| BE | AI Power | 1 | $193.89 | $193.89 | 14.1% |
| ☁️ AI Compute Cloud — 14.9% | |||||
| NBIS | AI Compute Cloud | 1 | $204.97 | $204.97 | 14.9% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,377 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | +127 | +17 | -11 | +29 | -20 | +1 | +6 | +22 | -3 | +34 | -0 | -19 | 234% |
| 22 | +10 | -4 | +25 | +4 | -8 | -17 | +32 | +1 | -15 | +14 | -13 | +34 | -12% |
| 23 | +15 | +1 | +13 | -9 | +21 | +1 | +7 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +27 | +23 | 131% |
| 24 | -8 | +22 | +15 | -16 | +13 | -7 | +0 | -10 | +8 | -0 | +32 | -2 | 43% |
| 25 | +8 | -23 | -18 | +3 | +14 | +19 | -9 | +14 | +27 | -12 | -10 | -2 | 3% |
| 26 | +6%* | -16%* | -13%* | +25.5% | +12.3% | -10.4% | -22.0% | +9.5%▲ | — | -15.9% | |||
▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
High Risk is marked at $1,377 on the current whole-share model, -3.9% versus Friday's published update (no build ran over the weekend). August MTD is +9.5% and 2026 YTD is -15.9% on the performance chain. This is a rough one, and it's two separate, confirmed stories landing on this book at once.
First, semiconductors are in a deep structural selloff — the PHLX Semiconductor Index is down more than 25% from its June peak, with global chip stocks erasing roughly $3.3 trillion in market value since June 22. SOXL's 3x leverage means it's absorbing that decline hardest. Second, NBIS's mysterious Aug 19 drop is now explained: Nebius announced a $4.5 billion convertible note offering that day, its third capital raise this year, sparking real share-dilution fears just a week after a blockbuster Q2 print. Today's continued NBIS weakness reads as ongoing repricing of that dilution overhang, not a fresh event.
SOXL (-12.4%) and NBIS (-10.0%) are by far the hardest hit, with BE (-4.9%) and TQQQ (-3.2%) also softer. MSTR (+3.5%) is the one bright spot, holding up as bitcoin decouples from the broader tech carnage.
Bottom line: no portfolio change before this update. HR is down -3.9% today, driven almost entirely by SOXL's leveraged exposure to the ongoing chip-sector unwind and NBIS's dilution overhang — two distinct, confirmed stories, not a single scare. MSTR continuing to hold up is the one thing keeping this from being worse.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Monday, August 24, 2026
Risk Disclosure
High Risk holds leveraged and crypto-linked positions: SOXL (3x semiconductors) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher — they can lose value fast. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31, 2026 · Initial entries (2) | ||||
| BE · AI Data-Center Power | BUY | $205.15 | 1 | Open |
| NBIS · AI Compute Cloud | BUY | $172.19 | 1 | Open |
| July 14, 2026 · Rotation (11) | ||||
| MRVL · AI Chips | CLOSE | $231.57 | 1 | +178.7% |
| VST · Power/AI | CLOSE | $161.00 | 1 | +0.4% |
| RKLB · Space | CLOSE | $78.76 | 1 | -10.5% |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | CLOSE | $123.61 | 1 | -25.5% |
| IONQ · Quantum | CLOSE | $40.04 | 2 | -18.8% |
| UEC · Uranium | CLOSE | $10.30 | 4 | -48.1% |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | CLOSE | $15.42 | 3 | -46.6% |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | CLOSE | $46.96 | 1 | -48.4% |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | ADD | $94.78 | 3 | Open |
| SOXL · 3x Semiconductors | BUY | $179.62 | 2 | Open |
| TQQQ · 3x Nasdaq-100 | BUY | $75.19 | 4 | Open |
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (9) | ||||
| VST · Power/AI | BUY | $160.36 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | BUY | $165.90 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MRVL · AI Chips | BUY | $83.10 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | BUY | $28.90 | 3 | Closed Jul 14 |
| RKLB · Space | BUY | $87.98 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| IONQ · Quantum | BUY | $49.33 | 2 | Closed Jul 14 |
| UEC · Uranium | BUY | $19.86 | 4 | Closed Jul 14 |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | BUY | $90.93 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.