High Risk

Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions

Today = vs the Aug 13 published unit ($1,490). Live opening marks (Tue, near the open ~7:38 MDT); Monday Aug 17 had no build, so daily move is vs Friday's (Aug 14) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,257.26). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.

Baseline note (Aug 18): Monday Aug 17 had no build; today’s move is measured against the Aug 14 published update ($1,490); August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,257 for the current whole-share model. July is locked closed in the monthly table.

Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight

Today = vs the Aug 13 published mark for positions already held. Since Fill = vs SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78 / BE $205.15 / NBIS $172.19. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Tue, near the open ~7:38 MDT); Monday Aug 17 had no build, so daily move is vs Friday's (Aug 14) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close.

Portfolio Allocation by Category

Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)

▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.

Calculate Your Position Size

High Risk is marked at $1,437 on the current whole-share model, -3.5% versus Friday's published update (Monday had no build). August MTD is +14.3% and 2026 YTD is -12.2% on the performance chain. This is a rougher morning for HR than for SG, and the reason is straightforward: this book carries the most direct exposure to the yield-driven pressure hitting growth and semiconductor names today.

The 30-year Treasury yield at roughly 5.33% — its highest since 2007 — combined with Brent crude near $91/barrel on the still-unresolved Strait of Hormuz tension, is squeezing exactly the kind of high-beta, long-duration growth exposure this book holds. Nasdaq 100 futures were down over 1% premarket and semiconductor names broadly were named as under pressure heading into the open.

SOXL (-7.6%) and BE (-7.6%) are the hardest hit, TQQQ (-5.3%) and NBIS (-1.2%) are softer too, while MSTR (+2.2%) is the one position trading against the tape this morning. Markets are also watching today's FOMC minutes for confirmation of the rate path — a hawkish read would extend the pressure on this book's core holdings.

Bottom line: no portfolio change before this update. HR is down -3.5% today, concentrated almost entirely in SOXL and BE — this is a textbook yield-spike day for a book built around leveraged tech and AI-infrastructure exposure, not a name-specific problem with either position. August MTD (+14.3%) remains strongly positive even after today's pullback.

Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History

Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.

Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.