High Risk

Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions

Weekend = vs the Aug 7 published unit ($1,388). Live opening marks (Mon, near the open ~7:30 MDT); this is a WEEKEND RETURN vs Friday's (Aug 7) published update since markets were closed Sat/Sun; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,257.26). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.

Baseline note (Aug 10): today’s move is a weekend return measured against the Aug 7 published update ($1,388); August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,257 for the current whole-share model. July is locked closed in the monthly table.

Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight

Weekend = vs the Aug 7 published mark for positions already held. Since Fill = vs SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78 / BE $205.15 / NBIS $172.19. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Mon, near the open ~7:30 MDT); this is a WEEKEND RETURN vs Friday's (Aug 7) published update since markets were closed Sat/Sun; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close.

Portfolio Allocation by Category

Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)

▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.

Calculate Your Position Size

High Risk opens the week at $1,381 on the current whole-share model, down a modest -0.5% over the weekend versus Friday's published update. August MTD is still +9.9% and 2026 YTD is -15.6% on the performance chain. This is normal digestion after a strong week, not a change in stance on SOXL, TQQQ, MSTR, BE, or NBIS.

The standout data point of earnings season so far is BE: Bloom Energy's Q2 print (reported July 28) was a genuine blowout — record revenue of $1.065 billion, up 166% year-over-year and well above the $826 million consensus estimate, with gross margin expanding to 34.3% and full-year guidance raised to $3.9-4.2 billion. That's a direct, real-numbers confirmation of the behind-the-meter AI-power thesis behind this position, not just a narrative.

NBIS reports its own Q2 results this Wednesday, August 12, before the open — the same morning as the CPI print, so it'll be a busy one. Elsewhere, the broader hyperscaler cohort confirmed strong AI demand this earnings season but showed rising capex consuming close to all of their operating cash flow, which is the funding-pace risk we've been flagging rather than a demand problem.

On Iran: we won't oversell a calming narrative that the data doesn't support. As of Sunday, Iran laid out six conditions for renewed US talks and Trump called the current state "semi-negotiating" — that's an unresolved standoff, not a resolution, and it keeps geopolitical tail-risk live for risk assets generally, MSTR included.

Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Monday, August 10, 2026

Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History

Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.

Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.