Recent Performance — Last 6 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | $857 | +3.5% | -14.6% |
| 2026-07-22 | $858 | +0.1% | -14.5% |
| 2026-07-23 | $849 | -1.0% | -15.4% |
| 2026-07-24 | $819 | -3.6% | -18.4% |
| 2026-07-27 | $815 | -0.5% | -18.8% |
| 2026-07-28 ◀ Today | $746 | -8.4% | -25.6% |
Today = vs the Jul 27 published unit ($815). Live intraday marks (Tue, near the open ~7:45 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly. Jul MTD vs Jun 30 close ($1,003.19). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.
Baseline note (Jul 28): today’s move is measured against the Jul 27 published unit of $815 — the same figure shown in yesterday’s update, so the number you last saw carries forward with no basis step.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Rotation | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASH | Cash | — | 0.0% | — | 30.3% | DRY POWDER |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $93.50 | -4.7% | -1.4% | 29.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | $105.47 | -22.8% | -41.3% | 20.4% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | $60.17 | -7.9% | -20.0% | 19.4% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Jul 27 published unit. Since Rotation = vs the Jul 14 rotation fills (SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78), not the Jan 22 entry. Weight = % of unit. Live intraday marks (Tue, near the open ~7:45 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🤖 Semiconductors20.4%
- 💻 Broad Tech19.4%
- ₿ Bitcoin29.9%
- 🏦 Cash30.3%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🤖 Semiconductors — 20.4% | |||||
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | 1.4453 | $105.47 | $152.44 | 20.4% |
| 💻 Broad Tech — 19.4% | |||||
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | 2.4051 | $60.17 | $144.73 | 19.4% |
| ₿ Bitcoin — 29.9% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 2.3851 | $93.50 | $223.01 | 29.9% |
| 🏦 Cash — 30.3% | |||||
| CASH | Cash | — | — | $226.06 | 30.3% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $746 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | +127 | +17 | -11 | +29 | -20 | +1 | +6 | +22 | -3 | +34 | -0 | -19 | 234% |
| 22 | +10 | -4 | +25 | +4 | -8 | -17 | +32 | +1 | -15 | +14 | -13 | +34 | -12% |
| 23 | +15 | +1 | +13 | -9 | +21 | +1 | +7 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +27 | +23 | 131% |
| 24 | -8 | +22 | +15 | -16 | +13 | -7 | +0 | -10 | +8 | -0 | +32 | -2 | 43% |
| 25 | +8 | -23 | -18 | +3 | +14 | +19 | -9 | +14 | +27 | -12 | -10 | -2 | 3% |
| 26 | +6%* | -16%* | -13%* | +25.5% | +12.3% | -10.4% | -25.6%▲ | — | -26.7% | ||||
▲ Current month through today; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Risk Disclosure
High Risk holds leveraged and crypto-linked positions: SOXL (3x semiconductors) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher — they can lose value fast. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
High Risk is taking the hit where we expected the pain to show up: SOXL. The unit is down about 8.4% to $746, with SOXL down roughly 23% versus yesterday's published mark. That looks ugly, but the structure matters. SOXL is a 3x semiconductor ETF, so when the SOX/SOXX complex gets hit by a forced deleveraging wave, the move is supposed to be violent. That is why we kept a large cash sleeve.
Why are semis down so much? Korea was the fuse: SK Hynix closed down 14.65%, Samsung fell more than 13%, and the KOSPI was hit by heavy chip selling. China DUV/chip-equipment headlines added competitive fear. Then the Nvidia/OpenAI vendor-financing headlines and rising AI-credit chatter turned the question from 'is AI real?' to 'who is paying for all this capex?' That is a funding-risk selloff, not proof the AI cycle is dead.
The bullish frame is still intact if the hyperscalers confirm it. Google showed real demand but spooked the market with a massive capex bill and negative free cash flow. Now Microsoft, Meta, and especially Amazon have to prove the spending is demand-backed and financeable. If AWS growth, AI backlog, and free-cash-flow commentary land well, today's liquidation can become the flush that creates the next entry rather than the end of the trade.
We are not spending the cash before the evidence. Cash is now about 30% of the unit, and we intend to put it to work soon if the earnings fork clears. The most likely window is after Thursday's Amazon report and Friday's market reaction. Be ready for a trade alert anytime after Friday. No investor should read today's cash as fear; it is dry powder for the moment when the forced selling burns out.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 14, 2026 · Rotation (11) | ||||
| MRVL · AI Chips | CLOSE | $231.57 | 1 | +178.7% |
| VST · Power/AI | CLOSE | $161.00 | 1 | +0.4% |
| RKLB · Space | CLOSE | $78.76 | 1 | -10.5% |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | CLOSE | $123.61 | 1 | -25.5% |
| IONQ · Quantum | CLOSE | $40.04 | 2 | -18.8% |
| UEC · Uranium | CLOSE | $10.30 | 4 | -48.1% |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | CLOSE | $15.42 | 3 | -46.6% |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | CLOSE | $46.96 | 1 | -48.4% |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | ADD | $94.78 | 1.3851 | Open |
| SOXL · 3x Semiconductors | BUY | $179.62 | 1.4453 | Open |
| TQQQ · 3x Nasdaq-100 | BUY | $75.19 | 2.4051 | Open |
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (9) | ||||
| VST · Power/AI | BUY | $160.36 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | BUY | $165.90 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MRVL · AI Chips | BUY | $83.10 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | BUY | $28.90 | 3 | Closed Jul 14 |
| RKLB · Space | BUY | $87.98 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| IONQ · Quantum | BUY | $49.33 | 2 | Closed Jul 14 |
| UEC · Uranium | BUY | $19.86 | 4 | Closed Jul 14 |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | BUY | $90.93 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.