Recent Performance — Last 6 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | $828 | +5.3% | -17.4% |
| 2026-07-21 | $857 | +3.5% | -14.6% |
| 2026-07-22 | $858 | +0.1% | -14.5% |
| 2026-07-23 | $849 | -1.0% | -15.4% |
| 2026-07-24 | $819 | -3.6% | -18.4% |
| 2026-07-27 ◀ Today | $815 | -0.5% | -18.8% |
Today = vs the Jul 24 published unit ($819). Live intraday marks (Mon, near the open ~7:51 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly. Jul MTD vs Jun 30 close ($1,003.19). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.
Baseline note (Jul 27): today’s move is measured against the Jul 24 published unit of $819 — the same figure shown in yesterday’s update, so the number you last saw carries forward with no basis step.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Rotation | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $98.07 | +5.9% | +3.5% | 28.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| CASH | Cash | — | 0.0% | — | 27.8% | DRY POWDER |
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | $136.67 | -7.9% | -23.9% | 24.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | $65.35 | -0.1% | -13.1% | 19.3% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Jul 24 published unit. Since Rotation = vs the Jul 14 rotation fills (SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78), not the Jan 22 entry. Weight = % of unit. Live intraday marks (Mon, near the open ~7:51 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🤖 Semiconductors24.2%
- 💻 Broad Tech19.3%
- ₿ Bitcoin28.7%
- 🏦 Cash27.8%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🤖 Semiconductors — 24.2% | |||||
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | 1.4453 | $136.67 | $197.53 | 24.2% |
| 💻 Broad Tech — 19.3% | |||||
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | 2.4051 | $65.35 | $157.17 | 19.3% |
| ₿ Bitcoin — 28.7% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 2.3851 | $98.07 | $233.91 | 28.7% |
| 🏦 Cash — 27.8% | |||||
| CASH | Cash | — | — | $226.06 | 27.8% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $815 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | +127 | +17 | -11 | +29 | -20 | +1 | +6 | +22 | -3 | +34 | -0 | -19 | 234% |
| 22 | +10 | -4 | +25 | +4 | -8 | -17 | +32 | +1 | -15 | +14 | -13 | +34 | -12% |
| 23 | +15 | +1 | +13 | -9 | +21 | +1 | +7 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +27 | +23 | 131% |
| 24 | -8 | +22 | +15 | -16 | +13 | -7 | +0 | -10 | +8 | -0 | +32 | -2 | 43% |
| 25 | +8 | -23 | -18 | +3 | +14 | +19 | -9 | +14 | +27 | -12 | -10 | -2 | 3% |
| 26 | +6%* | -16%* | -13%* | +25.5% | +12.3% | -10.4% | -18.8%▲ | — | -20.0% | ||||
▲ Current month through today; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Risk Disclosure
High Risk holds leveraged and crypto-linked positions: SOXL (3x semiconductors) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher — they can lose value fast. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
High Risk is still slightly red this morning, down about 0.5% to $815 a unit. That looks odd on a risk-on headline, but the reason is simple: SOXL is still down hard versus Friday's printed mark, while TQQQ and MSTR are positive. Cash is doing its job by keeping the drawdown controlled while the semiconductor tape proves itself.
The weekend stand-down helps HR more than any other book if it sticks. Lower oil lowers inflation pressure, lower yields support long-duration tech, and a calmer tape gives SOXL and TQQQ room to recover. But this is not a blind buy signal. Crude dropped; gasoline has not. AAA still has national regular gas around $4.11, and the IEA says refined product markets remain tight even after crude flows improved.
This week's earnings calendar is the real catalyst path. Cadence reports today, KLAC tomorrow, then Wednesday brings VRT, Microsoft, Meta, ARM, Qualcomm, Lam Research, and the Fed decision. Thursday brings Amazon and Apple. For this book, the question is whether AI capital spending is confirmed as demand-backed, or punished as free-cash-flow pressure. Microsoft and Meta can stabilize the tape; Amazon is the biggest capex/FCF swing risk.
Positioning stays disciplined. SOXL is about 25% of the unit, TQQQ about 19%, MSTR about 28%, and cash about 28%. If hyperscaler earnings say AI spend is real and funded by growth, SOXL/TQQQ can rebound fast. If earnings say spending is outrunning cash flow, cash becomes the weapon. No trades before the gauntlet. Hold the book, respect the leverage, and let the earnings week confirm the next move.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Monday, July 27, 2026
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 14, 2026 · Rotation (11) | ||||
| MRVL · AI Chips | CLOSE | $231.57 | 1 | +178.7% |
| VST · Power/AI | CLOSE | $161.00 | 1 | +0.4% |
| RKLB · Space | CLOSE | $78.76 | 1 | -10.5% |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | CLOSE | $123.61 | 1 | -25.5% |
| IONQ · Quantum | CLOSE | $40.04 | 2 | -18.8% |
| UEC · Uranium | CLOSE | $10.30 | 4 | -48.1% |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | CLOSE | $15.42 | 3 | -46.6% |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | CLOSE | $46.96 | 1 | -48.4% |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | ADD | $94.78 | 1.3851 | Open |
| SOXL · 3x Semiconductors | BUY | $179.62 | 1.4453 | Open |
| TQQQ · 3x Nasdaq-100 | BUY | $75.19 | 2.4051 | Open |
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (9) | ||||
| VST · Power/AI | BUY | $160.36 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | BUY | $165.90 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MRVL · AI Chips | BUY | $83.10 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | BUY | $28.90 | 3 | Closed Jul 14 |
| RKLB · Space | BUY | $87.98 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| IONQ · Quantum | BUY | $49.33 | 2 | Closed Jul 14 |
| UEC · Uranium | BUY | $19.86 | 4 | Closed Jul 14 |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | BUY | $90.93 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.