Recent Performance — Last 6 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | $882 | -4.0% | -12.1% |
| 2026-07-14 | $895 | +0.2% | -10.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | $877 | -2.0% | -12.6% |
| 2026-07-16 | $824 | -6.0% | -17.9% |
| 2026-07-17 | $787 | -4.5% | -21.6% |
| 2026-07-20 ◀ Today | $828 | +5.3% | -17.4% |
Today = vs the Jul 17 published unit ($787). Live intraday marks (Mon, near the open ~8:06 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly. Jul MTD vs Jun 30 close ($1,003.19). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.
Baseline note (Jul 20): today’s move is measured against the Jul 17 published unit of $787 — the same figure shown in Friday’s update, so the number you last saw carries forward with no basis step.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Rotation | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $96.00 | +5.0% | +1.3% | 27.6% | HOLD ✅ |
| CASH | Cash | — | 0.0% | — | 27.3% | DRY POWDER |
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | $143.16 | +13.7% | -20.3% | 25.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | $69.11 | +3.6% | -8.1% | 20.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Jul 17 published unit. Since Rotation = vs the Jul 14 rotation fills (SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78), not the Jan 22 entry. Weight = % of unit. Live intraday marks (Mon, near the open ~8:06 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🤖 Semiconductors25.0%
- 💻 Broad Tech20.1%
- ₿ Bitcoin27.6%
- 🏦 Cash27.3%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🤖 Semiconductors — 25.0% | |||||
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | 1.4453 | $143.16 | $206.90 | 25.0% |
| 💻 Broad Tech — 20.1% | |||||
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | 2.4051 | $69.11 | $166.22 | 20.1% |
| ₿ Bitcoin — 27.6% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 2.3851 | $96.00 | $228.98 | 27.6% |
| 🏦 Cash — 27.3% | |||||
| CASH | Cash | — | — | $226.06 | 27.3% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $828 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | +127 | +17 | -11 | +29 | -20 | +1 | +6 | +22 | -3 | +34 | -0 | -19 | 234% |
| 22 | +10 | -4 | +25 | +4 | -8 | -17 | +32 | +1 | -15 | +14 | -13 | +34 | -12% |
| 23 | +15 | +1 | +13 | -9 | +21 | +1 | +7 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +27 | +23 | 131% |
| 24 | -8 | +22 | +15 | -16 | +13 | -7 | +0 | -10 | +8 | -0 | +32 | -2 | 43% |
| 25 | +8 | -23 | -18 | +3 | +14 | +19 | -9 | +14 | +27 | -12 | -10 | -2 | 3% |
| 26 | +6%* | -16%* | -13%* | +25.5% | +12.3% | -10.4% | -17.4%▲ | — | -18.6% | ||||
▲ Current month through today; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Risk Disclosure
High Risk holds leveraged and crypto-linked positions: SOXL (3x semiconductors) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher — they can lose value fast. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
High Risk rebounded about 5.3% on Monday, recovering a large chunk of Friday's washout. SOXL surged roughly 14%, TQQQ added about 3.6% and MSTR rose near 5%. This is the snap-back we said to expect: when the forced selling stops, three-times leverage works as hard on the way up as it did on the way down.
That is the whole thesis playing out. Friday's plunge was margin-driven deleveraging out of Korea on a Seoul market that was closed for a holiday, not a change in AI demand. Hyperscaler capex is still running in the hundreds of billions this year, and the bottleneck is power, not chips. A one-day, holiday-thinned washout was always more likely to be near a low than a top.
The position detail matters here. MSTR, which we added to at the July 14 rotation, is now back above our entry at roughly +1.3% since rotation as bitcoin firmed. SOXL and TQQQ are still under our rotation fills, down about 20% and 8%, but today is the reason we hold leveraged beta through the noise instead of dumping it into a panic.
Cash discipline is doing its job. We still hold about 27% in cash from the rotation. We did not throw it into Friday's fear and we are not chasing Monday's green either. That dry powder stays ready in case the tape retests the lows on real volume rather than a holiday air-pocket.
No trades. This is a model book, and leveraged funds move fast in both directions, so size any exposure to your own risk rather than ours.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Monday, July 20, 2026
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 14, 2026 · Rotation (11) | ||||
| MRVL · AI Chips | CLOSE | $231.57 | 1 | +178.7% |
| VST · Power/AI | CLOSE | $161.00 | 1 | +0.4% |
| RKLB · Space | CLOSE | $78.76 | 1 | -10.5% |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | CLOSE | $123.61 | 1 | -25.5% |
| IONQ · Quantum | CLOSE | $40.04 | 2 | -18.8% |
| UEC · Uranium | CLOSE | $10.30 | 4 | -48.1% |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | CLOSE | $15.42 | 3 | -46.6% |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | CLOSE | $46.96 | 1 | -48.4% |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | ADD | $94.78 | 1.3851 | Open |
| SOXL · 3x Semiconductors | BUY | $179.62 | 1.4453 | Open |
| TQQQ · 3x Nasdaq-100 | BUY | $75.19 | 2.4051 | Open |
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (9) | ||||
| VST · Power/AI | BUY | $160.36 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | BUY | $165.90 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MRVL · AI Chips | BUY | $83.10 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | BUY | $28.90 | 3 | Closed Jul 14 |
| RKLB · Space | BUY | $87.98 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| IONQ · Quantum | BUY | $49.33 | 2 | Closed Jul 14 |
| UEC · Uranium | BUY | $19.86 | 4 | Closed Jul 14 |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | BUY | $90.93 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.