Recent Performance — Last 6 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | $919 | -1.2% | -8.4% |
| 2026-07-13 | $882 | -4.0% | -12.1% |
| 2026-07-14 | $895 | +0.2% | -10.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | $877 | -2.0% | -12.6% |
| 2026-07-16 | $824 | -6.0% | -17.9% |
| 2026-07-17 ◀ Today | $787 | -4.5% | -21.6% |
Today = vs the Jul 16 published unit ($824). Live intraday marks (Fri, near the open ~7:33 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly. Jul MTD vs Jun 30 close ($1,003.19). Sessions before Jul 14 reflect the prior book; the current holdings were established at the Jul 14 open.
Baseline note (Jul 17): today’s move is measured against the Jul 16 published unit of $824 — the same figure shown in yesterday’s update, so the number you last saw carries forward with no basis step.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Rotation | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASH | Cash | — | 0.0% | — | 28.7% | DRY POWDER |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $91.47 | -2.8% | -3.5% | 27.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | $125.94 | -9.9% | -29.9% | 23.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | $66.73 | -6.2% | -11.2% | 20.4% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Jul 16 published unit. Since Rotation = vs the Jul 14 rotation fills (SOXL $179.62 / TQQQ $75.19 / MSTR $94.78), not the Jan 22 entry. Weight = % of unit. Live intraday marks (Fri, near the open ~7:33 MDT); official close-basis units published nightly.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🤖 Semiconductors23.1%
- 💻 Broad Tech20.4%
- ₿ Bitcoin27.7%
- 🏦 Cash28.7%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🤖 Semiconductors — 23.1% | |||||
| SOXL | 3x Semiconductors | 1.4453 | $125.94 | $182.02 | 23.1% |
| 💻 Broad Tech — 20.4% | |||||
| TQQQ | 3x Nasdaq-100 | 2.4051 | $66.73 | $160.49 | 20.4% |
| ₿ Bitcoin — 27.7% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 2.3851 | $91.47 | $218.17 | 27.7% |
| 🏦 Cash — 28.7% | |||||
| CASH | Cash | — | — | $226.06 | 28.7% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $787 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | +127 | +17 | -11 | +29 | -20 | +1 | +6 | +22 | -3 | +34 | -0 | -19 | 234% |
| 22 | +10 | -4 | +25 | +4 | -8 | -17 | +32 | +1 | -15 | +14 | -13 | +34 | -12% |
| 23 | +15 | +1 | +13 | -9 | +21 | +1 | +7 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +27 | +23 | 131% |
| 24 | -8 | +22 | +15 | -16 | +13 | -7 | +0 | -10 | +8 | -0 | +32 | -2 | 43% |
| 25 | +8 | -23 | -18 | +3 | +14 | +19 | -9 | +14 | +27 | -12 | -10 | -2 | 3% |
| 26 | — | — | — | +25.5% | +12.3% | -10.4% | -21.6%▲ | — | -22.7% | ||||
▲ Current month through today; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Monthly figures are shown only for months we tracked and published daily — our daily archive begins 15 April 2026, so Jan–Mar are marked — rather than estimated. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals, no filled-in gaps. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Risk Disclosure
High Risk holds leveraged and crypto-linked positions: SOXL (3x semiconductors) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher — they can lose value fast. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; for months before that we show no monthly figure rather than an estimate. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Semiconductors kept falling on Friday and a three-times book feels all of it. SOXL dropped about 10% at the open and TQQQ near 6%, with MSTR off close to 3%. Korea was closed for a holiday, so Taiwan and Japan led the overnight selling and the Nikkei fell into correction. Even a strong TSMC report did not stop it.
The mechanism is positioning, not fundamentals. TSMC just posted another record quarter, and hyperscaler capex is still tracking roughly 700 to 900 billion dollars this year. What is unwinding is months of crowded, one-way chip exposure and the leverage stacked on top of it. That kind of selling overshoots.
So we hold, and we would rather add into this than sell it. SOXL and TQQQ are leveraged beta, and this is the drawdown you accept to own them. A washout on a holiday-thinned tape, with no fresh Korea catalyst, looks closer to capitulation than a top.
The 27% cash we set aside at the July 14 rotation is the dry powder for exactly this. This is a model book and leveraged funds can move against us fast, so size any exposure to your own risk.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Friday, July 17, 2026
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 14, 2026 · Rotation (11) | ||||
| MRVL · AI Chips | CLOSE | $231.57 | 1 | +178.7% |
| VST · Power/AI | CLOSE | $161.00 | 1 | +0.4% |
| RKLB · Space | CLOSE | $78.76 | 1 | -10.5% |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | CLOSE | $123.61 | 1 | -25.5% |
| IONQ · Quantum | CLOSE | $40.04 | 2 | -18.8% |
| UEC · Uranium | CLOSE | $10.30 | 4 | -48.1% |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | CLOSE | $15.42 | 3 | -46.6% |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | CLOSE | $46.96 | 1 | -48.4% |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | ADD | $94.78 | 1.3851 | Open |
| SOXL · 3x Semiconductors | BUY | $179.62 | 1.4453 | Open |
| TQQQ · 3x Nasdaq-100 | BUY | $75.19 | 2.4051 | Open |
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (9) | ||||
| VST · Power/AI | BUY | $160.36 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| PLTR · AI/Defense | BUY | $165.90 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| MRVL · AI Chips | BUY | $83.10 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| BMNR · Crypto Treasury | BUY | $28.90 | 3 | Closed Jul 14 |
| RKLB · Space | BUY | $87.98 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
| IONQ · Quantum | BUY | $49.33 | 2 | Closed Jul 14 |
| UEC · Uranium | BUY | $19.86 | 4 | Closed Jul 14 |
| OKLO · Nuclear SMR | BUY | $90.93 | 1 | Closed Jul 14 |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.