Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | $1,855 | -3.4% | +8.1% |
| 2026-09-01 | $1,838 | -0.9% | -1.6% |
| 2026-09-02 | $1,830 | -0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2026-09-03 ◀ Today | $1,887 | +3.1% | +1.1% |
Today = vs the Sep 2 published unit ($1,830). Live opening marks (Thu, near the open ~8:00 MDT); daily move is vs Wednesday's (Sep 2) published update; September MTD starts from Monday Aug 31's official month-end close. September MTD vs Aug 31 close ($1,867.39).
Baseline note (Sep 3): today’s move is measured against the Sep 2 published update ($1,830); September MTD is measured against the Aug 31 official month-end close of $1,867. August is locked closed in the monthly table at +8.84%.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $395.90 | +2.1% | +18.5% | 21.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $227.39 | +3.6% | +23.0% | 12.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $198.34 | +5.8% | -27.3% | 10.5% | HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $65.34 | +1.0% | +33.6% | 10.4% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $164.33 | 0.0% | -7.4% | 8.7% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.15 | +2.1% | +1.9% | 8.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $49.88 | -0.1% | -3.7% | 7.9% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $139.51 | +14.3% | -13.3% | 7.4% | HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $45.79 | +3.9% | -19.0% | 7.3% | HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $31.11 | +1.6% | -17.5% | 6.6% | WATCH 👀 |
Today = vs the Sep 2 published unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Thu, near the open ~8:00 MDT); daily move is vs Wednesday's (Sep 2) published update; September MTD starts from Monday Aug 31's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense29.7%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy28.2%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin19.4%
- 🌎 International16.1%
- 🏦 Long Bonds6.6%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 29.7% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $395.90 | $395.90 | 21.0% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $164.33 | $164.33 | 8.7% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 28.2% | |||||
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $198.34 | $198.34 | 10.5% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $65.34 | $196.02 | 10.4% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $45.79 | $137.37 | 7.3% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 19.4% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $227.39 | $227.39 | 12.0% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $139.51 | $139.51 | 7.4% |
| 🌎 International — 16.1% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $77.15 | $154.30 | 8.2% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $49.88 | $149.62 | 7.9% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 6.6% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $31.11 | $124.44 | 6.6% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,887 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -1.3% | +8.8% | +1.1%▲ | — | -1.7% | ||
▲ Current month through today; July and August 2026 are locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Aug cells are locked closed from official month-end closes; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Safe Growth is marked at $1,887 near the open, +3.1% versus Wednesday's published update and +1.1% for September (August locked closed at +8.84%, in the track record table below). A genuine relief rally this morning on two fronts: ADP's private payrolls report badly missed (+38,000 vs +47,000 expected, the weakest since January), and a New York Times report that Iran's intelligence ministry reached out to the CIA to discuss ending hostilities sent oil down for the first time since the war began — though Iran itself has denied the report, so we're treating this as a tentative, unconfirmed signal, not a resolution.
MSTR (+14.3%) is leading the book by a huge margin as bitcoin's bounce keeps building through the morning, well beyond the initial relief-rally pop. NUGT (+5.8%), URA (+3.9%) and NVDA (+3.6%) are all broadly higher too — a real, broad-based move, not just one name, though MSTR's size means it's carrying most of today's gain.
TMF (+1.6%) is up too, catching a bid on the weak ADP print — the same soft labor data that could revive rate-cut hope even as Warsh's inflation-first stance argues the Fed has less room to act on it. Still on our watch list; no trade before this update.
Bottom line: SG is up +3.1% today on the combination of weak ADP jobs data and an unconfirmed Iran de-escalation report — genuinely positive signals, but both come with real caveats (Iran's own denial, and a Fed that's said inflation is the priority). Friday's official jobs report is the real test.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Thursday, September 3, 2026
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Aug monthly cells are locked closed from official month-end closes; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.