Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | $1,920 | +0.2% | +11.9% |
| 2026-08-31 | $1,855 | -3.4% | +8.1% |
| 2026-09-01 | $1,838 | -0.9% | -1.6% |
| 2026-09-02 ◀ Today | $1,830 | -0.4% | -2.0% |
Today = vs the Sep 1 published unit ($1,838). Live opening marks (Wed, near the open ~8:00 MDT); daily move is vs Tuesday's (Sep 1) published update; September MTD starts from Monday Aug 31's official month-end close. September MTD vs Aug 31 close ($1,867.39).
Baseline note (Sep 2): today’s move is measured against the Sep 1 published update ($1,838); September MTD is measured against the Aug 31 official month-end close of $1,867. August is locked closed in the monthly table at +8.84%.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $387.63 | -1.0% | +16.0% | 21.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $219.41 | +1.1% | +18.7% | 12.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $64.68 | +0.2% | +32.2% | 10.6% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $187.42 | +3.5% | -31.4% | 10.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $164.35 | -1.3% | -7.4% | 9.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $75.53 | -2.0% | -0.3% | 8.3% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $49.90 | +0.3% | -3.7% | 8.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $44.08 | -0.1% | -22.1% | 7.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $30.61 | -0.7% | -18.8% | 6.7% | WATCH 👀 |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $122.00 | -5.3% | -24.2% | 6.7% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Sep 1 published unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Wed, near the open ~8:00 MDT); daily move is vs Tuesday's (Sep 1) published update; September MTD starts from Monday Aug 31's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense30.2%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy28.1%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin18.7%
- 🌎 International16.4%
- 🏦 Long Bonds6.7%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 30.2% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $387.63 | $387.63 | 21.2% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $164.35 | $164.35 | 9.0% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 28.1% | |||||
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $64.68 | $194.04 | 10.6% |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $187.42 | $187.42 | 10.2% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $44.08 | $132.24 | 7.2% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 18.7% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $219.41 | $219.41 | 12.0% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $122.00 | $122.00 | 6.7% |
| 🌎 International — 16.4% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $75.53 | $151.05 | 8.3% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $49.90 | $149.70 | 8.2% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 6.7% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $30.61 | $122.42 | 6.7% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,830 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -1.3% | +8.8% | -2.0%▲ | — | -4.7% | ||
▲ Current month through today; July and August 2026 are locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Aug cells are locked closed from official month-end closes; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Safe Growth is marked at $1,830 near the open, -0.4% versus Tuesday's published update and -2.0% for September (August closed locked at +8.84%, in the track record table below). Yesterday's ISM Manufacturing PMI actually came in soft — a slight dip, still in expansion — so the “hot-data-is-bad-news” test we flagged never really triggered. Iran was the real story instead: Tuesday's session opened red on rising yields and a firming dollar as US strikes on Iran continued, and overnight Iran retaliated directly with missiles and drones against Gulf allies, ending what multiple outlets called a “monthslong lull” — a genuine fresh escalation, not a cooling-off.
NUGT (+3.5%) leads the book this morning on a real safe-haven gold bid, while MSTR (-5.3%) is down again as bitcoin stays weak. XLE (+0.2%) is little-changed — a milder oil reaction than Monday's spike, even with a genuine new escalation overnight. This is a more mixed, stock-specific morning than a broad risk-off wave.
TMF (-0.7%) stays on our watch list — still needs a rate-cut path that neither the data nor the Fed's tone has confirmed. No trade before this update.
Bottom line: SG is down -0.4% today, a calmer but still unresolved morning — gold catching a real safe-haven bid on fresh Iran escalation while bitcoin and most of the rest of the book stay soft. August's jobs report Friday is the week's real catalyst, the last major print before the Sep 16 FOMC.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Wednesday, September 2, 2026
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Aug monthly cells are locked closed from official month-end closes; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.