Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | $1,887 | +1.2% | +10.0% |
| 2026-08-24 | $1,878 | -0.5% | +9.4% |
| 2026-08-25 | $1,888 | +0.6% | +10.1% |
| 2026-08-26 ◀ Today | $1,887 | -0.1% | +10.0% |
Today = vs the Aug 18 published unit ($1,888). Live opening marks (Wed, near the open ~7:30 MDT); daily move is vs Tuesday's (Aug 25) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,715.73).
Baseline note (Aug 26): today’s move is measured against the Aug 25 published update ($1,888); August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,716. July is locked closed in the monthly table.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $409.20 | -1.9% | +22.5% | 21.7% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $212.44 | +0.7% | +14.9% | 11.3% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $209.65 | +1.3% | -23.2% | 11.1% | HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $61.37 | -2.1% | +25.5% | 9.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $170.62 | -0.9% | -3.9% | 9.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.46 | +0.5% | +2.3% | 8.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $49.91 | -0.2% | -3.6% | 7.9% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $48.66 | +3.5% | -14.0% | 7.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $31.84 | +0.7% | -15.6% | 6.7% | WATCH 👀 |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $123.17 | +1.6% | -23.5% | 6.5% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Aug 18 published unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Wed, near the open ~7:30 MDT); daily move is vs Tuesday's (Aug 25) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense30.7%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy28.6%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin17.8%
- 🌎 International16.1%
- 🏦 Long Bonds6.7%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 30.7% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $409.20 | $409.20 | 21.7% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $170.62 | $170.62 | 9.0% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 28.6% | |||||
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $209.65 | $209.65 | 11.1% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $61.37 | $184.11 | 9.8% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $48.66 | $146.00 | 7.7% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 17.8% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $212.44 | $212.44 | 11.3% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $123.17 | $123.17 | 6.5% |
| 🌎 International — 16.1% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $77.46 | $154.92 | 8.2% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $49.91 | $149.73 | 7.9% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 6.7% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $31.84 | $127.34 | 6.7% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,887 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -1.3% | +10.0%▲ | — | -1.7% | |||
▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Safe Growth is marked at $1,887 near the open, -0.1% versus Tuesday's published update and +10.0% for August. A genuinely quiet day — both books are essentially flat as markets wait for the real catalyst: Nvidia reports fiscal Q2 earnings after today's close, with analysts expecting $2.09 EPS (nearly double a year ago) and $92.2 billion in revenue (+97.4% YoY). Nothing in today's numbers reflects that yet; it's tomorrow's story.
This morning's July PCE (the Fed's preferred inflation gauge) came in mixed: headline +3.7% YoY, a modest upside surprise, while core held at +3.3% YoY, exactly in line with expectations. Not a dramatic print, but it keeps the door open on the hawkish side heading into Fed Chair Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote as chair Friday. Worth noting: the “structural chip selloff” language from earlier this week was really a July event — the semiconductor index fell 21% that month (worst since Oct 2008) but has since rallied over 21% off its July 29 low.
URA (+3.5%) leads the book today. XLE (-2.1%) is the clearest mover, down more than 2% with no single confirmed headline pinning down the driver as of this build. ETN (-1.9%) and PPA (-0.9%) are modestly softer, while TMF (+0.7%), NVDA (+0.7%), MSTR (+1.6%), NUGT (+1.3%) and EWW (+0.5%) are all modestly higher.
Bottom line: no trade before this update. SG is down -0.1% today — a quiet holding pattern ahead of Nvidia's earnings tonight and Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote Friday, the two real catalysts left this week.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Wednesday, August 26, 2026
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.