Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | $1,864 | +0.6% | +8.6% |
| 2026-08-21 | $1,887 | +1.2% | +10.0% |
| 2026-08-24 | $1,878 | -0.5% | +9.4% |
| 2026-08-25 ◀ Today | $1,888 | +0.6% | +10.1% |
Today = vs the Aug 18 published unit ($1,878). Live opening marks (Tue, near the open ~7:30 MDT); daily move is vs Monday's (Aug 24) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,715.73).
Baseline note (Aug 25): today’s move is measured against the Aug 24 published update ($1,878); August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,716. July is locked closed in the monthly table.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $417.19 | +1.6% | +24.9% | 22.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $210.93 | +0.7% | +14.1% | 11.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $206.96 | -1.3% | -24.2% | 11.0% | HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $62.67 | -1.2% | +28.1% | 10.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $172.13 | -0.1% | -3.0% | 9.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.08 | -0.2% | +1.8% | 8.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $50.00 | +1.3% | -3.5% | 7.9% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $47.01 | +3.4% | -16.9% | 7.5% | HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $31.63 | +1.9% | -16.1% | 6.7% | WATCH 👀 |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $121.29 | -0.8% | -24.7% | 6.4% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Aug 18 published unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Tue, near the open ~7:30 MDT); daily move is vs Monday's (Aug 24) published update; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense31.2%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy28.4%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin17.6%
- 🌎 International16.1%
- 🏦 Long Bonds6.7%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 31.2% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $417.19 | $417.19 | 22.1% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $172.13 | $172.13 | 9.1% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 28.4% | |||||
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $206.96 | $206.96 | 11.0% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $62.67 | $188.01 | 10.0% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $47.01 | $141.03 | 7.5% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 17.6% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $210.93 | $210.93 | 11.2% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $121.29 | $121.29 | 6.4% |
| 🌎 International — 16.1% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $77.08 | $154.16 | 8.2% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $50.00 | $150.00 | 7.9% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 6.7% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $31.63 | $126.52 | 6.7% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,888 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -1.3% | +10.1%▲ | — | -1.7% | |||
▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Safe Growth is marked at $1,888 near the open, +0.6% versus Monday's published update and +10.1% for August. A quiet day for this book after Monday's chip-driven pullback — chip stocks are bouncing hard ahead of Nvidia's earnings tomorrow (Wednesday) after the bell, and Treasury yields fell again (the 10-year slid to 4.658%) after CNBC reported Treasury could tap its $1 trillion General Account to fund bond repurchases, echoing last week's Bessent buyback intervention.
Bitcoin continued its meltup overnight — opening at its highest level in three months and briefly topping $81,000 intraday, up roughly 22% on the week. It's a big week ahead: Nvidia earnings tomorrow and the Aug 27-29 Jackson Hole Symposium, where Fed Chair Warsh delivers his first keynote as chair Friday, 19 days ahead of the Sep 16 FOMC decision.
URA (+3.4%) leads the book today, with TMF (+1.9%) and ETN (+1.6%) also higher on the yield relief. MSTR (-0.8%) and NUGT (-1.3%) are both softer despite bitcoin's continued surge and gold's recent strength — a reminder that leveraged/crypto-linked names don't always track their underlying asset 1:1 intraday. XLE (-1.2%), PPA (-0.1%) and EWW (-0.2%) are modestly softer, while NVDA (+0.7%) and INDA (+1.3%) are higher.
Bottom line: no trade before this update. SG is up +0.6% today — a mostly uneventful session after Monday's chip-driven pullback. Worth watching Nvidia's earnings tomorrow and Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote Friday for the next real catalyst.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.