Recent Performance — Last 4 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | Month MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 close | $1,716 | 0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2026-08-03 | $1,716 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2026-08-04 | $1,784 | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2026-08-07 ◀ Today | $1,856 | +4.0% | +8.2% |
Today = vs the Aug 4 published unit ($1,784). Live opening marks (Fri, near the open ~8:30 MDT); daily move is vs Tuesday's (Aug 4) published update — no update was sent Aug 5-6; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close. August MTD vs Jul 31 close ($1,715.73).
Baseline note (Aug 7): today’s move is measured against the Aug 4 published update ($1,784) — no update was sent Aug 5-6; August MTD is measured against the Jul 31 official month-end close of $1,716. July is locked closed in the monthly table.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $449.46 | +1.3% | +34.5% | 24.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $223.41 | +6.0% | +20.9% | 12.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $181.93 | +0.5% | +2.5% | 9.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $57.54 | +0.2% | +17.6% | 9.3% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | $160.61 | +31.1% | -41.2% | 8.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.47 | -0.4% | +2.3% | 8.3% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $50.40 | +0.1% | -2.7% | 8.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $44.27 | +5.1% | -21.7% | 7.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $31.33 | -0.1% | -16.9% | 6.8% | WATCH 👀 |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $103.65 | +9.1% | -35.6% | 5.6% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs the Aug 4 published unit. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. Live opening marks (Fri, near the open ~8:30 MDT); daily move is vs Tuesday's (Aug 4) published update — no update was sent Aug 5-6; August MTD starts from Friday Jul 31's official month-end close.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense34.0%
- ⛏️ Metals & Energy25.1%
- 🤖 AI & Bitcoin17.6%
- 🌎 International16.5%
- 🏦 Long Bonds6.8%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 34.0% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | 1 | $449.46 | $449.46 | 24.2% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | 1 | $181.93 | $181.93 | 9.8% |
| ⛏️ Metals & Energy — 25.1% | |||||
| XLE | Energy/Oil | 3 | $57.54 | $172.62 | 9.3% |
| NUGT | 2x Gold Miners | 1 | $160.61 | $160.61 | 8.7% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 3 | $44.27 | $132.80 | 7.2% |
| 🤖 AI & Bitcoin — 17.6% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | 1 | $223.41 | $223.41 | 12.0% |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | 1 | $103.65 | $103.65 | 5.6% |
| 🌎 International — 16.5% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | 2 | $77.47 | $154.94 | 8.3% |
| INDA | India ETF | 3 | $50.40 | $151.20 | 8.1% |
| 🏦 Long Bonds — 6.8% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | 4 | $31.33 | $125.32 | 6.8% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,856 | 100% | |||
Live Track Record — Since January 22, 2026 (Actual)
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3%* | -3%* | -8%* | +10.0% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -1.3% | +8.2%▲ | — | -3.3% | |||
▲ Current month through today; July 2026 is locked closed; return measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. * Jan–Mar 2026 are estimated partial-period returns carried from our May 2026 updates; they predate our daily archive (begins 15 April 2026) and are shown as estimates, not as-published daily marks. Apr–Jun cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; close-basis restatement pending the anchor review. No backtests, no hypotheticals. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued.
Safe Growth is marked at $1,856 near the open, up +4.0% versus Tuesday's published update and +8.2% for August. The move is almost entirely a gold story: NUGT is the standout again after this week's private-payrolls miss knocked Treasury yields and the dollar lower, sending gold to its best single-day gain in six months. URA and TMF are catching the same tailwind from softer rates.
This week's data point — US private employers adding only 44,000 jobs in July, well below expectations — is what moved the macro backdrop. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for buyers overseas, and falling yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like bullion. That combination is showing up directly in NUGT's leadership.
XLE is the one red name in the book today. Oil is not participating in the same rate-cut-hope trade that is lifting metals, and energy names are lagging the broader risk-on move. ETN, NVDA, PPA, EWW, and INDA are all modestly higher, giving the book breadth beyond the gold spike.
Bottom line: SG is being carried by its hard-asset sleeve this week. No trade is needed before this update. One soft jobs print does not settle the Fed debate on its own — officials still have inflation and wage data to weigh — so we are treating this as a real tailwind, not a guaranteed trend.
Portfolio Builder | Market Update | Friday, August 7, 2026
Risk Disclosure
Safe Growth is not an unleveraged book: it holds TMF (3x long Treasuries) and NUGT (2x gold miners). Leveraged ETFs reset daily and can lose value over time even when the underlying index is flat or higher. MSTR carries leverage and direct bitcoin exposure. This is our model book, shared for transparency — it is not individualized investment advice, and position sizing reflects our risk tolerance, not yours. Every performance figure on this page is an actual, live result measured from the Jan 22, 2026 entry. Apr–Jun monthly cells are as-published marks; July is locked closed from the Jul 31 month-end close; a close-basis restatement is pending the anchor review. Our published daily archive begins 15 April 2026; Jan–Mar 2026 monthly cells are estimated partial-period returns (marked *) carried from our May 2026 updates, shown as estimates rather than as-published daily marks. We show no backtested or hypothetical returns. Units are price-return; dividends are not accrued. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data claims are dated as of publication.
Trade Ledger — Entry & Exit History
Every position we open and close, newest first. Realized P/L on closes is marked against the original entry price.
| Ticker | Action | Price | Sh/Unit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 22, 2026 · Initial entries (10) | ||||
| XLE · Energy | BUY | $48.91 | 3 | Open |
| ETN · Electrical/AI | BUY | $334.04 | 1 | Open |
| TMF · 20Y Treasury | BUY | $37.70 | 4 | Open |
| PPA · Defense | BUY | $177.46 | 1 | Open |
| EWW · Mexico | BUY | $75.75 | 2 | Open |
| NVDA · AI Chips | BUY | $184.84 | 1 | Open |
| INDA · India | BUY | $51.80 | 3 | Open |
| URA · Uranium | BUY | $56.56 | 3 | Open |
| MSTR · Bitcoin | BUY | $160.98 | 1 | Open |
| NUGT · 2x Gold Miners | BUY | $272.99 | 1 | Open |
Entry prices verified against the Jan 22, 2026 cost basis. “Open” = still held today. An entry marked “Closed <date>” was exited in that rotation — its realized result is shown on the CLOSE row for that date. This ledger builds our public track record going forward.
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.