Recent Performance — Last 10 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | May Closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | $1,762 | -5.5% | -0.6% |
| 2026-06-08 | $1,779 | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2026-06-09 | $1,760 | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2026-06-10 | $1,703 | -3.3% | -4.0% |
| 2026-06-11 | $1,768 | +3.8% | -0.3% |
| 2026-06-12 | $1,780 | +0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2026-06-15 | $1,832 | +2.9% | +3.4% |
| 2026-06-16 | $1,830 | -0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2026-06-17 | $1,807 | -1.2% | +1.9% |
| 2026-06-18 ◀ Today | $1,807 | -1.5% | -3.5% |
Apr open return vs Apr 1 ($1,773). Unit values from live Finnhub prices.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $409.66 | -0.4% | +21.7% | 22.7% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $204.67 | -2.1% | +14.9% | 11.3% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $177.75 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 9.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $54.69 | -1.2% | +15.6% | 9.1% | HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.33 | -1.1% | +3.6% | 8.6% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | $147.95 | -4.5% | -43.4% | 8.2% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $49.07 | -0.6% | -5.1% | 8.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $35.87 | +0.6% | -0.9% | 7.9% | WATCH 👀 |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $47.11 | -1.9% | -13.0% | 7.8% | HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $116.58 | -7.3% | -27.2% | 6.5% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs prev close. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. ● = category. Prices via Finnhub.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- Infrastructure & Defense32.5%
- Energy & Commodities25.1%
- AI & Tech11.3%
- Crypto Treasury6.5%
- Emerging Markets16.7%
- Bonds & Rates7.9%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 32.5% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | ×1 | $409.66 | $409.66 | 22.7% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | ×1 | $177.75 | $177.75 | 9.8% |
| ⚡ Energy & Commodities — 25.1% | |||||
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | ×1 | $147.95 | $147.95 | 8.2% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | ×3 | $54.69 | $164.07 | 9.1% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | ×3 | $47.11 | $141.33 | 7.8% |
| 🤖 AI & Tech — 11.3% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | ×1 | $204.67 | $204.67 | 11.3% |
| ₿ Crypto Treasury — 6.5% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin Treasury | ×1 | $116.58 | $116.58 | 6.5% |
| 🌏 Emerging Markets — 16.7% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | ×2 | $77.33 | $154.66 | 8.6% |
| INDA | India ETF | ×3 | $49.07 | $147.21 | 8.1% |
| 📊 Bonds & Rates — 7.9% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | ×4 | $35.87 | $143.48 | 7.9% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,807 | 100% | |||
| Entry: $1,920 on Jan 22, 2026 | Current: $1,807 | Since entry: -5.9% | |||||
Value/unit = shares × price. Weights at today's open prices.
Monthly Track Record
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3% | -3% | -8% | +10.0% | -3.5% | -4.0%▲ | — | — | — | — | — | — | -5.9% |
▲ Current month through today. YTD from Jan 22, 2026 entry.
📊 Market Narrative — Thursday, June 18, 2026
The Safe Growth portfolio shed -1.5% today, pulling our since-inception gain down to +1.9% as a textbook risk-off rotation punished our commodity and crypto exposures. Gold miners led the damage with NUGT cratering -6.6% to $147.95, while MSTR dropped -5.1% to $116.58 on firmer Treasury yields and broad de-risking in speculative assets. The bright spots were defensive: PPA gained +0.7% to $177.75, ETN added +0.5% to $409.66, and TMF edged up +0.4% to $35.87 — not enough to offset losses, but confirmation that our diversification thesis is working at the margins.
Two stories dominated today's tape. First, headlines that a U.S.-Iran deal is imminent sent crude rebounding but simultaneously crushed the geopolitical risk premium in gold — hence NUGT's brutal session. The FT's "oil shortage is ending" piece reinforced the supply-side narrative, capping upside for XLE, which slipped -1.2% to $54.69 despite the Brent bounce. Second, Broadcom's weak AI-chip outlook continues to ripple through semiconductors; peer names in the AI chip space fell 9% to 17% over the prior two sessions, and while NVDA held up relatively well at -1.3% to $204.67, the market is clearly punishing any hint of demand deceleration. Bank of America's $350 price target on NVDA — roughly 71% above today's close — suggests the long-term thesis remains intact, but near-term sentiment is fragile.
The Fed backdrop is adding pressure. Kevin Warsh's inflation-focused commentary and the probability of rates holding at 3.50%-3.75% rising sharply after recent jobs data have pushed the market toward a "restrictive for longer" stance. The 10-year yield spike is capping multiple expansion across high-duration assets, which explains why MSTR and NUGT — both leveraged bets on looser financial conditions — are bearing the brunt. Meanwhile, URA fell -1.6% to $47.11, caught between the energy security tailwind and broader risk-off flows in speculative themes.
Key Watch for the Rest of Today: Monitor the Fed rate decision language closely — any dovish surprise would lift TMF and potentially reverse MSTR's slide. Watch Brent crude; if it holds above $85, XLE could stabilize tomorrow. NVDA's relative strength versus other AI semiconductor names is the tell — if it can hold $200, the sector rotation may be nearing exhaustion.
Our Stance: Hold all positions. Today's drawdown is painful but not structural — the portfolio's defensive anchors (PPA, ETN, TMF) performed exactly as designed, and our +1.9% since-inception return remains positive despite elevated volatility. We're watching NUGT closely; if gold continues to unwind its geopolitical premium, we may trim exposure. For now, the diversified construction is doing its job, and we see no reason to chase the tape lower.
AI Research: Claude Opus + Perplexity live intel | Rating: A+ | Thursday, June 18, 2026
Portfolio Builder | portfoliobuilder.io
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.