Recent Performance — Last 10 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | May Closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | $1,851 | -2.1% | +4.4% |
| 2026-06-04 | $1,865 | +0.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-06-05 | $1,762 | -5.5% | -0.6% |
| 2026-06-08 | $1,779 | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2026-06-09 | $1,760 | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2026-06-10 | $1,703 | -3.3% | -4.0% |
| 2026-06-11 | $1,768 | +3.8% | -0.3% |
| 2026-06-12 | $1,780 | +0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2026-06-15 | $1,832 | +2.9% | +3.4% |
| 2026-06-16 ◀ Today | $1,833 | +2.9% | -3.5% |
Apr open return vs Apr 1 ($1,773). Unit values from live Finnhub prices.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $407.08 | +4.0% | +21.0% | 22.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $212.47 | +3.5% | +19.3% | 11.6% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $175.83 | +1.0% | -0.5% | 9.6% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $55.57 | -3.5% | +17.5% | 9.1% | HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.78 | -0.9% | +4.2% | 8.5% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | $151.22 | +12.9% | -42.1% | 8.3% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $49.27 | +1.9% | -4.8% | 8.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $48.07 | +5.6% | -11.2% | 7.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $35.18 | 0.0% | -2.8% | 7.7% | WATCH 👀 |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $131.16 | +5.8% | -18.1% | 7.2% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs prev close. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. ● = category. Prices via Finnhub.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- Infrastructure & Defense31.8%
- Energy & Commodities25.2%
- AI & Tech11.6%
- Crypto Treasury7.2%
- Emerging Markets16.6%
- Bonds & Rates7.7%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 31.8% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | ×1 | $407.08 | $407.08 | 22.2% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | ×1 | $175.83 | $175.83 | 9.6% |
| ⚡ Energy & Commodities — 25.2% | |||||
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | ×1 | $151.22 | $151.22 | 8.3% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | ×3 | $55.57 | $166.71 | 9.1% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | ×3 | $48.07 | $144.21 | 7.9% |
| 🤖 AI & Tech — 11.6% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | ×1 | $212.47 | $212.47 | 11.6% |
| ₿ Crypto Treasury — 7.2% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin Treasury | ×1 | $131.16 | $131.16 | 7.2% |
| 🌏 Emerging Markets — 16.6% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | ×2 | $77.78 | $155.56 | 8.5% |
| INDA | India ETF | ×3 | $49.27 | $147.81 | 8.1% |
| 📊 Bonds & Rates — 7.7% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | ×4 | $35.18 | $140.72 | 7.7% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,833 | 100% | |||
| Entry: $1,920 on Jan 22, 2026 | Current: $1,833 | Since entry: -4.5% | |||||
Value/unit = shares × price. Weights at today's open prices.
Monthly Track Record
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3% | -3% | -8% | +10.0% | -3.5% | -2.6%▲ | — | — | — | — | — | — | -4.5% |
▲ Current month through today. YTD from Jan 22, 2026 entry.
📊 Market Narrative — Tuesday, June 16, 2026
Safe Growth surged +2.9% today, pushing our unit value to $1,832.77 and extending our gain since the January 22 entry to +3.4%. This was a textbook risk-on session driven by a potential breakthrough in Middle East diplomacy and growing expectations that the Fed's next move will be dovish. The Dow jumped 600 points to fresh records, and our portfolio's beta-sensitive positions captured the rally beautifully.
The headline catalyst was CNBC's report of a potential Iran deal emerging from a 90-minute White House deadline, sparking hopes for de-escalation and lower oil supply risk. Paradoxically, this hammered energy stocks — our XLE position dropped -3.4% to $55.57 as traders unwound the geopolitical risk premium. With Brent staying well below the $100 threshold that would pressure broader equity multiples, the market chose to celebrate the reduced inflation threat rather than worry about energy earnings. This is a positioning headwind for XLE, but the broader portfolio more than offset it.
The real stars today were our inflation hedges and growth exposures. NUGT exploded +12.9% to $151.22 as gold miners caught a bid on dollar weakness and rate-cut speculation. MSTR rallied +5.8% to $131.16, riding the crypto-liquidity wave as risk appetite broadened. URA gained +5.6% to $48.07 — nuclear continues to benefit from the AI data-center power demand narrative, and lower rate expectations only amplify the appeal of these long-duration assets. Meanwhile, NVDA climbed +3.5% to $212.47 and ETN added +4.0% to $407.08, both benefiting from the infrastructure and AI capex themes that remain the market's core leadership story.
Key Watch: MarketWatch reports the market is "poised to go crazy" if incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signals accommodation — watch for any Warsh commentary or Fed leaks this afternoon. Our TMF position (flat today at $35.18) is the direct expression of rate expectations; any dovish repricing should lift long-duration Treasuries. Also monitor oil — if the Iran deal falls apart, XLE could snap back +3-5% quickly, and the broader risk-on trade would likely pause.
Our Stance: Hold all positions. Today's action validated our diversified approach — growth names (NVDA, ETN), alternative assets (NUGT, MSTR, URA), and international exposure (INDA +1.9%) all contributed while XLE's drag was manageable. The earnings tape remains forgiving (misses averaging just +0.72% vs. -1.77% historically), and positioning is stretched in semis but not yet at capitulation levels. We're watching for any reversal in rate expectations that could pressure our duration-sensitive names, but for now, the wind is at our backs.
AI Research: Claude Opus + Perplexity live intel | Rating: A+ | Tuesday, June 16, 2026
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This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.