Recent Performance — Last 10 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | May Closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | $1,892 | +2.0% | +6.7% |
| 2026-06-03 | $1,851 | -2.1% | +4.4% |
| 2026-06-04 | $1,865 | +0.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-06-05 | $1,762 | -5.5% | -0.6% |
| 2026-06-08 | $1,779 | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2026-06-09 | $1,760 | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2026-06-10 | $1,703 | -3.3% | -4.0% |
| 2026-06-11 | $1,768 | +3.8% | -0.3% |
| 2026-06-12 | $1,780 | +0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2026-06-15 ◀ Today | $1,781 | +0.5% | -3.5% |
Apr open return vs Apr 1 ($1,773). Unit values from live Finnhub prices.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $391.41 | -0.6% | +16.3% | 22.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $205.21 | +0.3% | +15.2% | 11.5% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $174.15 | -1.2% | -1.5% | 9.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $57.57 | +1.3% | +21.7% | 9.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $78.49 | +0.7% | +5.2% | 8.8% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $48.34 | -0.1% | -6.6% | 8.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $35.18 | +0.3% | -2.8% | 7.9% | WATCH 👀 |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $45.53 | +0.7% | -15.9% | 7.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | $133.91 | +3.7% | -48.7% | 7.5% | HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $123.99 | +3.2% | -22.6% | 7.0% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs prev close. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. ● = category. Prices via Finnhub.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- Infrastructure & Defense31.8%
- Energy & Commodities24.9%
- AI & Tech11.5%
- Crypto Treasury7.0%
- Emerging Markets17.0%
- Bonds & Rates7.9%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 31.8% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | ×1 | $391.41 | $391.41 | 22.0% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | ×1 | $174.15 | $174.15 | 9.8% |
| ⚡ Energy & Commodities — 24.9% | |||||
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | ×1 | $133.91 | $133.91 | 7.5% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | ×3 | $57.57 | $172.71 | 9.7% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | ×3 | $45.53 | $136.59 | 7.7% |
| 🤖 AI & Tech — 11.5% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | ×1 | $205.21 | $205.21 | 11.5% |
| ₿ Crypto Treasury — 7.0% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin Treasury | ×1 | $123.99 | $123.99 | 7.0% |
| 🌏 Emerging Markets — 17.0% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | ×2 | $78.49 | $156.98 | 8.8% |
| INDA | India ETF | ×3 | $48.34 | $145.02 | 8.1% |
| 📊 Bonds & Rates — 7.9% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | ×4 | $35.18 | $140.72 | 7.9% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,781 | 100% | |||
| Entry: $1,920 on Jan 22, 2026 | Current: $1,781 | Since entry: -7.3% | |||||
Value/unit = shares × price. Weights at today's open prices.
Monthly Track Record
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3% | -3% | -8% | +10.0% | -3.5% | -5.4%▲ | — | — | — | — | — | — | -7.3% |
▲ Current month through today. YTD from Jan 22, 2026 entry.
📊 Market Narrative — Monday, June 15, 2026
The Safe Growth portfolio is up +0.5% today, bringing our unit value to $1,780.69 and pushing us back into positive territory at +0.4% since our January 22 entry. Today's session showcases exactly why we built this portfolio with diversified thematic exposure: our gold and emerging market positions are doing the heavy lifting while defense and bonds take a breather on shifting geopolitical dynamics.
The dominant story remains the Iran de-escalation narrative. The Strait of Hormuz has now been effectively closed for 100 days, yet oil prices aren't spiking — a signal the market believes resolution is imminent. When Trump announced attacks were called off and a deal was close, WTI crude dropped 4% in just 15 minutes, stripping out the geopolitical risk premium that had supported energy names. Our XLE position is up +0.8% today at $57.57, which seems counterintuitive given the crude weakness, but integrated majors are catching a bid from the broader risk-on tone and expectations that normalized shipping lanes will actually boost volume throughput. We're watching this closely — if crude continues sliding on deal optimism, XLE's resilience will be tested.
The standout performer is NUGT, surging +5.7% to $133.91. This gold miners ETF is catching a bid from an unusual setup: de-escalation is typically risk-on and gold-negative, but the dollar is softening on expectations that easing geopolitical tensions give the Fed more room to hold rates steady. That dollar weakness is turbocharged gold and, critically, our emerging market positions — EWW (Mexico) +1.5% and INDA (India) +1.2% are both benefiting from capital flows into EM equities as the greenback retreats. MSTR's +3.2% pop to $123.99 fits the same pattern: bitcoin and crypto proxies love a weaker dollar and improving risk appetite.
On the laggard side, TMF is down -0.9% at $35.18 as the long-duration Treasury ETF gives back gains. The market is pricing out some recession hedging as peace optimism lifts growth expectations, pushing yields modestly higher. PPA shed -1.2% — defense names typically cool when conflict risk diminishes, though the global rearmament cycle provides structural support. Neither move concerns us at current levels.
Key Watch: (1) Any breakdown in Iran deal talks would snap crude higher and pressure EM/gold while lifting energy — we'd reassess XLE sizing on a reversal. (2) Consumer inflation expectations data this week feeds directly into the Fed's June meeting calculus; a hot print could flip the script on TMF and growth names like NVDA. (3) NVDA, up a modest +0.2% today at $205.21, is treading water ahead of potential AI capex commentary — any demand deceleration signals would ripple across the portfolio.
Our Stance: Hold all positions. The portfolio's diversification is working exactly as designed — we're capturing upside from multiple uncorrelated themes while no single position is dragging us down. If TMF weakness extends past -2% on the week or Iran headlines reverse sharply, we'll revisit allocation. For now, we ride the momentum and let our winners run.
AI Research: Claude Opus + Perplexity live intel | Rating: A+ | Monday, June 15, 2026
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This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.