Recent Performance — Last 10 Sessions
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | May Closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | $1,883 | 0.0% | -3.5% |
| 2026-06-01 | $1,855 | -1.5% | -3.5% |
| 2026-06-02 | $1,892 | +2.0% | +6.7% |
| 2026-06-03 | $1,851 | -2.1% | +4.4% |
| 2026-06-04 | $1,865 | +0.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-06-05 | $1,762 | -5.5% | -0.6% |
| 2026-06-08 | $1,779 | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2026-06-09 | $1,760 | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2026-06-10 | $1,703 | -3.3% | -4.0% |
| 2026-06-11 ◀ Today | $1,709 | -2.7% | -3.5% |
Apr open return vs Apr 1 ($1,773). Unit values from live Finnhub prices.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $375.48 | -6.5% | +11.6% | 22.0% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $201.38 | -1.5% | +13.1% | 11.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $58.80 | +2.4% | +24.3% | 10.3% | HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $169.25 | -1.1% | -4.2% | 9.9% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $74.34 | -0.6% | -0.4% | 8.7% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $47.31 | -0.6% | -8.5% | 8.3% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $34.56 | +0.0% | -4.5% | 8.1% | WATCH 👀 |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $42.36 | -4.0% | -21.7% | 7.4% | HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $115.83 | -0.4% | -27.7% | 6.8% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | $114.46 | -9.6% | -56.2% | 6.7% | HOLD ✅ |
Today = vs prev close. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. ● = category. Prices via Finnhub.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- Infrastructure & Defense31.9%
- Energy & Commodities24.5%
- AI & Tech11.8%
- Crypto Treasury6.8%
- Emerging Markets17.0%
- Bonds & Rates8.1%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 31.9% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | ×1 | $375.48 | $375.48 | 22.0% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | ×1 | $169.25 | $169.25 | 9.9% |
| ⚡ Energy & Commodities — 24.5% | |||||
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | ×1 | $114.46 | $114.46 | 6.7% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | ×3 | $58.80 | $176.40 | 10.3% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | ×3 | $42.36 | $127.08 | 7.4% |
| 🤖 AI & Tech — 11.8% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | ×1 | $201.38 | $201.38 | 11.8% |
| ₿ Crypto Treasury — 6.8% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin Treasury | ×1 | $115.83 | $115.83 | 6.8% |
| 🌏 Emerging Markets — 17.0% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | ×2 | $74.34 | $148.68 | 8.7% |
| INDA | India ETF | ×3 | $47.31 | $141.93 | 8.3% |
| 📊 Bonds & Rates — 8.1% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | ×4 | $34.56 | $138.26 | 8.1% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,709 | 100% | |||
| Entry: $1,920 on Jan 22, 2026 | Current: $1,709 | Since entry: -11.0% | |||||
Value/unit = shares × price. Weights at today's open prices.
Monthly Track Record
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3% | -3% | -8% | +10.0% | -3.5% | -9.2%▲ | — | — | — | — | — | — | -11.0% |
▲ Current month through today. YTD from Jan 22, 2026 entry.
📊 Market Narrative — Thursday, June 11, 2026
The Safe Growth portfolio shed -2.7% today, pulling our unit value to $1,708.75 and extending our drawdown since January entry to -3.6%. This was a brutal session for our commodity-linked positions, with NUGT cratering -9.6% to $114.46 and URA dropping -4.0% to $42.36. The culprit wasn't a risk-off panic — it was the opposite: escalating U.S.-Iran conflict triggered a flight into crude and the dollar, crushing gold miners despite the geopolitical chaos. Meanwhile, our duration bet paid off modestly, with TMF climbing +1.1% to $34.56 as Treasury yields fell on safe-haven demand.
The dominant story remains the overnight "self-defense strikes" against Iran, per CNBC's breaking coverage. Crude spiked as Bloomberg reports China is now tapping commercial oil stockpiles to weather the Gulf shock — a clear signal that major importers expect sustained supply disruption. NBC's inflation preview warns May CPI likely jumped on war-driven energy costs, which explains why XLE gained +0.9% to $58.80 and PPA rose +1.0% to $169.25. Defense and energy are now the market's preferred hedges, and our positioning there is working. The counterintuitive gold miner collapse stems from dollar strength: when geopolitical risk drives capital into U.S. assets broadly, the greenback rallies, and leveraged gold plays like NUGT get hammered despite gold's traditional safe-haven role.
Our industrial exposure took collateral damage. ETN plunged -6.5% to $375.48, the day's second-worst performer, as investors rotated out of cyclical industrials on war uncertainty and the prospect of higher input costs. This is frustrating given ETN's strong fundamentals in power management and data center infrastructure, but the market is treating all non-defense industrials as guilty until proven innocent. On the bright side, NVDA held firm at +0.5% to $201.38 — the AI semiconductor complex is proving resilient as Business Insider's "count calories" piece suggests hyperscalers are rationalizing AI spend rather than cutting it, which keeps demand for high-end chips intact.
Key Watch for the Rest of Today: Monitor WTI crude — a break above $95 would likely accelerate the energy bid and pressure consumer discretionary further. Watch Treasury yields: if the 10-year falls below 4.10%, TMF could extend gains toward $35.50. Finally, track any Pentagon briefings or Iranian response signals; a de-escalation headline could trigger a sharp reversal in today's defensive rotation, potentially snapping back NUGT and pressuring XLE/PPA.
Our Stance: Hold current positions. The NUGT drawdown is painful but reflects dollar dynamics, not a breakdown in the gold thesis — we're not chasing the exit at session lows. ETN remains a core holding with strong secular tailwinds; today's move is macro noise, not fundamental deterioration. If crude sustains above $90 through tomorrow's close, we'll evaluate adding to XLE on any pullback toward $57.50. No panic, no knee-jerk trades — this is exactly the volatility Safe Growth is designed to weather.
AI Research: Claude Opus + Perplexity live intel | Rating: A+ | Thursday, June 11, 2026
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This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.