April–May 2026 — Day by Day
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | May MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | $1,913 | -0.3% | +7.9% |
| 2026-04-16 | $1,915 | +0.1% | +8.0% |
| 2026-04-17 | $1,928 | +0.8% | +8.7% |
| 2026-04-20 | $1,954 | +0.4% | +10.2% |
| 2026-04-21 | $1,966 | +0.6% | +10.9% |
| 2026-04-22 | $1,938 | -1.3% | +9.3% |
| 2026-04-23 | $1,949 | +0.5% | +9.9% |
| 2026-04-24 | $1,950 | +0.1% | +10.0% |
| 2026-05-04 | $1,911 | -2.0% | -2.0% |
| 2026-05-05 | $1,902 | -0.5% | -2.5% |
| 2026-05-06 | $1,968 | +3.4% | +0.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | $1,926 | -2.1% | -1.2% |
| 2026-05-08 | $1,950 | +1.2% | -0.0% |
| 2026-05-11 | $1,999 | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 2026-05-12 | $1,957 | -2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-13 | $1,955 | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2026-05-14 | $1,963 | +0.4% | +0.7% |
| 2026-05-15 | $1,888 | -3.8% | -3.2% |
| 2026-05-18 | $1,858 | -1.6% | -4.7% |
| 2026-05-19 | $1,823 | -1.9% | -6.5% |
| 2026-05-20 | $1,853 | +1.6% | -5.0% |
| 2026-05-21 | $1,849 | -0.2% | +4.3% |
| 2026-05-22 | $1,853 | +0.2% | +4.5% |
| 2026-05-25 ◀ Today | $1,853 | +0.2% | -5.0% |
Apr open return vs Apr 1 ($1,773). Unit values from live Finnhub prices.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $391.37 | +2.6% | +16.3% | 21.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $215.35 | -1.9% | +20.9% | 11.6% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $59.51 | +0.6% | +25.8% | 9.6% | HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $170.26 | +1.4% | -3.7% | 9.2% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $159.91 | -3.0% | -0.2% | 8.6% | HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.78 | -0.1% | +4.2% | 8.4% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | $155.02 | -2.5% | -40.7% | 8.4% | HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $48.97 | +0.2% | -9.5% | 7.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $48.40 | +0.7% | -6.4% | 7.8% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $33.68 | +1.4% | -7.0% | 7.3% | WATCH 👀 |
Today = vs prev close. Since Entry = vs Jan 22, 2026. Weight = % of unit. ● = category. Prices via Finnhub.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- Infrastructure & Defense30.3%
- Energy & Commodities25.9%
- AI & Tech11.6%
- Crypto Treasury8.6%
- Emerging Markets16.2%
- Bonds & Rates7.3%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 30.3% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | ×1 | $391.37 | $391.37 | 21.1% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | ×1 | $170.26 | $170.26 | 9.2% |
| ⚡ Energy & Commodities — 25.9% | |||||
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | ×1 | $155.02 | $155.02 | 8.4% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | ×3 | $59.51 | $178.53 | 9.6% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | ×3 | $48.97 | $146.91 | 7.9% |
| 🤖 AI & Tech — 11.6% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | ×1 | $215.35 | $215.35 | 11.6% |
| ₿ Crypto Treasury — 8.6% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin Treasury | ×1 | $159.91 | $159.91 | 8.6% |
| 🌏 Emerging Markets — 16.2% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | ×2 | $77.78 | $155.56 | 8.4% |
| INDA | India ETF | ×3 | $48.40 | $145.20 | 7.8% |
| 📊 Bonds & Rates — 7.3% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | ×4 | $33.68 | $134.72 | 7.3% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,853 | 100% | |||
| Entry: $1,920 on Jan 22, 2026 | Current: $1,853 | Since entry: -3.5% | |||||
Value/unit = shares × price. Weights at today's open prices.
Monthly Track Record
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3% | -3% | -8% | +10.0% | -5.0%▲ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | YTD |
▲ Current month through today. YTD from Jan 22, 2026 entry.
📊 Market Narrative — Monday, May 25, 2026
The Safe Growth portfolio edges higher on this Memorial Day session, posting a +0.2% gain to bring our unit value to $1,852.83 and our return since January 22nd entry to +4.5%. Today's action reveals a clear bifurcation: defensive industrials and rate-sensitive plays are catching bids while speculative growth and crypto-linked names face selling pressure. It's a textbook flight toward quality within our diversified allocation.
The standout performer is ETN at $391.37, surging +2.6% as investors rotate into infrastructure and electrification plays with visible earnings power. Defense exposure via PPA ($170.26, +1.4%) continues its steady climb, benefiting from sustained geopolitical uncertainty and congressional budget momentum for military modernization. Meanwhile, our bond hedge TMF gained +1.4% to $33.68, reflecting renewed appetite for duration as traders position for potential Fed accommodation later this year—particularly notable given headlines suggesting friction between President Trump and incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh could introduce policy uncertainty that favors Treasury exposure.
On the other side of the ledger, MSTR dropped -3.0% to $159.91 as Bitcoin-linked equities remain vulnerable to the tighter funding conditions Morgan Stanley flagged—wider SOFR/fed-funds spreads and repo market stress disproportionately hit speculative assets. NVDA slipped -1.9% to $215.35 despite the broader AI semiconductor complex benefiting from strong Q1 earnings (S&P 500 tech tracking near +28% year-over-year). The pullback appears technical rather than fundamental; even best-in-class names face profit-taking when expectations run hot. Gold miners via NUGT fell -2.5% to $155.02, pressured by the same risk-off rotation favoring Treasuries over hard assets today.
Key Watch for the Rest of Today: Monitor Treasury yields closely—if the 10-year dips below 4.15%, TMF could extend gains and signal broader risk-off sentiment building. Watch NVDA's $210 support level; a breach would suggest the pullback has further to run. Any headlines on Fed-Warsh policy direction or repo facility adjustments could move rate-sensitive positions sharply in either direction.
Our Stance: Hold all positions. The portfolio's diversification is working exactly as designed—ETN and PPA provide ballast while TMF hedges rate volatility. NVDA and MSTR weakness is contained and doesn't warrant action at current levels. We'd consider adding to NVDA on a decisive hold above $210 with improving volume, or trimming MSTR if Bitcoin breaks below $65,000. For now, patience remains the optimal strategy as we let quality compounding do its work.
AI Research: Claude Opus + Perplexity live intel | Rating: A+ | Monday, May 25, 2026
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This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.