April–May 2026 — Day by Day
| Date | Unit Value | Daily | May MTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | $1,913 | -0.3% | +7.9% |
| 2026-04-16 | $1,915 | +0.1% | +8.0% |
| 2026-04-17 | $1,928 | +0.8% | +8.7% |
| 2026-04-20 | $1,954 | +0.4% | +10.2% |
| 2026-04-21 | $1,966 | +0.6% | +10.9% |
| 2026-04-22 | $1,938 | -1.3% | +9.3% |
| 2026-04-23 | $1,949 | +0.5% | +9.9% |
| 2026-04-24 | $1,950 | +0.1% | +10.0% |
| 2026-05-04 | $1,911 | -2.0% | +7.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | $1,902 | -0.5% | +7.3% |
| 2026-05-06 | $1,968 | +3.4% | +11.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | $1,926 | -2.1% | +8.6% |
| 2026-05-08 | $1,950 | +1.2% | +10.0% |
| 2026-05-11 | $1,999 | +2.5% | +12.7% |
| 2026-05-12 | $1,957 | -2.1% | +10.3% |
| 2026-05-13 | $1,955 | -0.1% | +10.2% |
| 2026-05-14 | $1,963 | +0.4% | +10.7% |
| 2026-05-15 | $1,888 | -3.8% | +6.5% |
| 2026-05-18 ◀ Today | $1,881 | -0.4% | 0.0% |
Apr open return vs Apr 1 ($1,773). Unit values from live Finnhub prices.
Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight
| Ticker | Sector | Price | Today | Since Entry | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETN | Infrastructure | $384.54 | -3.7% | +14.3% | 20.6% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| NVDA | AI Chips | $225.37 | +0.0% | +26.6% | 12.1% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | $59.51 | +0.1% | +25.8% | 9.6% | HOLD ✅ |
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | $167.45 | +1.9% | -35.9% | 9.0% | HOLD ✅ |
| MSTR | Bitcoin | $166.94 | -5.9% | +4.2% | 9.0% | HOLD ✅ |
| PPA | Defense ETF | $165.53 | +0.6% | -6.3% | 8.9% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| EWW | Mexico ETF | $77.38 | +0.2% | +3.7% | 8.3% | HOLD ✅ |
| URA | Uranium ETF | $49.23 | -1.4% | -9.0% | 7.9% | HOLD ✅ |
| INDA | India ETF | $47.89 | -0.2% | -7.4% | 7.7% | STRONG HOLD ✅ |
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | $32.68 | 0.0% | -9.7% | 7.0% | WATCH 👀 |
Today = vs prev close. Since Entry = vs Jan 20, 2026. Weight = % of unit. ● = category. Prices via Finnhub.
Portfolio Allocation by Category
- Infrastructure & Defense29.5%
- Energy & Commodities26.5%
- AI & Tech12.1%
- Crypto Treasury9.0%
- Emerging Markets16.0%
- Bonds & Rates7.0%
| Ticker | Sector | Shares | Price | $/Unit | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 29.5% | |||||
| ETN | Infrastructure | ×1 | $384.54 | $384.54 | 20.6% |
| PPA | Defense ETF | ×1 | $165.53 | $165.53 | 8.9% |
| ⚡ Energy & Commodities — 26.5% | |||||
| NUGT | 3x Gold Miners | ×1 | $167.45 | $167.45 | 9.0% |
| XLE | Energy/Oil | ×3 | $59.51 | $178.53 | 9.6% |
| URA | Uranium ETF | ×3 | $49.23 | $147.69 | 7.9% |
| 🤖 AI & Tech — 12.1% | |||||
| NVDA | AI Chips | ×1 | $225.37 | $225.37 | 12.1% |
| ₿ Crypto Treasury — 9.0% | |||||
| MSTR | Bitcoin Treasury | ×1 | $166.94 | $166.94 | 9.0% |
| 🌏 Emerging Markets — 16.0% | |||||
| EWW | Mexico ETF | ×2 | $77.38 | $154.76 | 8.3% |
| INDA | India ETF | ×3 | $47.89 | $143.67 | 7.7% |
| 📊 Bonds & Rates — 7.0% | |||||
| TMF | 3x Long Bonds | ×4 | $32.68 | $130.72 | 7.0% |
| TOTAL UNIT VALUE | $1,865 | 100% | |||
| Entry: $1,920 on Jan 22, 2026 | Current: $1,865 | Since entry: -2.9% | |||||
Value/unit = shares × price. Weights at today's open prices.
Monthly Track Record
| Yr | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | +7.6 | +0.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | -1.6 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.5 | 25.3% |
| 20 | +2.5 | -3.0 | -6.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +8.2 | +9.1 | -11.4 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.3 | 4.1% |
| 21 | +4.7 | +1.3 | -7.9 | +10.6 | -4.4 | +9.7 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -4.3 | +19.8 | +0.5 | +1.7 | 25.8% |
| 22 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +1.7 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +13.7 | +1.7 | -22.0 | +31.0 | +11.6 | +1.8 | -25.8% |
| 23 | +12.3 | -12.4 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -13.9 | +13.2 | +0.2 | -4.4 | -10.8 | +0.7 | +13.2 | +14.0 | 14.7% |
| 24 | +1.4 | +14.1 | +9.3 | +5.1 | +8.8 | -8.3 | +1.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +15.0 | -10.1 | 39.0% |
| 25 | +5.8 | -2.5 | -4.3 | +1.8 | +4.9 | +5.0 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +5.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | -2.1 | 7.4% |
| 26 | +3% | -3% | -8% | +10.0% | -4.4%▲ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | YTD |
▲ Current month through today. YTD from Jan 22, 2026 entry.
📊 Market Narrative — Monday, May 18, 2026
The Safe Growth portfolio is down -1.2% today, trimming our since-entry gain to +5.2% from our January 22nd start. Unit price sits at $1,865.20. Let's be direct: this is a risk-off Monday, and our higher-beta positions are taking the brunt of it. When Treasury yields stay sticky and the Fed keeps reminding markets that rate cuts aren't imminent, the speculative end of the portfolio — yes, names like MSTR and IONQ — will feel it first. That's the trade-off we've accepted for the upside torque these positions provide.
The biggest drag today is MicroStrategy (MSTR), down a painful -5.9% to $166.94. Bitcoin leverage cuts both ways, and when risk appetite contracts, MSTR amplifies the move. OKLO shed -4.4% to $59.54, and IONQ dropped -4.0% to $49.86 — both classic high-duration names that suffer when the 10-year yield refuses to cooperate. Meanwhile, our semiconductor exposure is mixed: MRVL fell -3.1% to $171.42 on what looks like sector rotation, while NVDA held flat at $225.37. The AI trade isn't broken, but it's becoming more discriminating — investors want proof of monetization, not just capex promises.
On the winning side, Rocket Lab (RKLB) popped +3.2% to $128.71 — space and defense remain bid when geopolitical uncertainty lingers. NUGT climbed +1.9% to $167.45 as gold catches a safe-haven bid, and Palantir (PLTR) added +1.2% to $135.58, continuing its slow grind higher on government AI contract momentum. Energy held steady with XLE up a marginal +0.1% — Middle East tensions remain a persistent bid under the sector, even on quiet days.
Key Watch: The 10-year yield is the swing factor this week. If we see it break above 4.55%, expect another leg down in our duration-sensitive names. Fed speakers are out in force — watch for any shift in tone toward acknowledging softer inflation; that's the catalyst that could unlock our semiconductor and nuclear positions. On the geopolitical front, any US-Iran escalation would likely push XLE up 1-3% quickly while providing a tailwind to RKLB and our defense-adjacent exposure through PPA.
Our Stance: Hold. Days like today are the price of admission for a portfolio that owns MSTR, IONQ, and OKLO alongside more defensive positions. We're not trimming into weakness — the thesis on AI infrastructure, nuclear renaissance, and space commercialization remains intact. If MRVL drifts below $165 or MSTR breaks $155 on no fundamental news, we'll revisit. For now, we stay the course and let our diversification across gold, energy, and defense absorb the volatility.
AI Research: Claude Opus + Perplexity live intel | Rating: A+ | Monday, May 18, 2026
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This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.