Portfolio Builder · Daily Update

Safe Growth

Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Market Open, 9:00 AM EST
Entry: $1,920 on Jan 22, 2026 | Cost per unit to follow today: $1,935
-1.1%
Today
-0.8%
May MTD
+0.8%
2026 YTD
$1,935
Unit Value
Daily Update
Both model books are marked every market morning.

April–May 2026 — Day by Day

DateUnit ValueDailyMay MTD
2026-04-15$1,913-0.3%+7.9%
2026-04-16$1,915+0.1%+8.0%
2026-04-17$1,928+0.8%+8.7%
2026-04-20$1,954+0.4%+10.2%
2026-04-21$1,966+0.6%+10.9%
2026-04-22$1,938-1.3%+9.3%
2026-04-23$1,949+0.5%+9.9%
2026-04-24$1,950+0.1%+10.0%
2026-05-04$1,911-2.0%+7.8%
2026-05-05$1,902-0.5%+7.3%
2026-05-06$1,968+3.4%+11.0%
2026-05-07$1,926-2.1%+8.6%
2026-05-08$1,950+1.2%+10.0%
2026-05-11$1,999+2.5%+12.7%
2026-05-12$1,957-2.1%+10.3%
2026-05-13 ◀ Today$1,935-1.1%+9.1%

Apr open return vs Apr 1 ($1,773). Unit values from live Finnhub prices.

Position Scoreboard — Sorted by Portfolio Weight

TickerSectorPriceTodaySince EntryWeightSignal
ETNInfrastructure$402.93+0.3%+19.7%20.8%STRONG HOLD ✅
NVDAAI Chips$221.77+0.4%+24.5%11.5%STRONG HOLD ✅
NUGT3x Gold Miners$195.93-4.3%-25.0%10.1%HOLD ✅
MSTRBitcoin$176.38-4.4%+10.1%9.1%HOLD ✅
XLEEnergy/Oil$57.39-0.3%+21.4%8.9%HOLD ✅
PPADefense ETF$167.39-1.3%-5.3%8.7%STRONG HOLD ✅
EWWMexico ETF$80.05+0.1%+7.3%8.3%HOLD ✅
URAUranium ETF$52.69-3.1%-2.6%8.2%HOLD ✅
INDAIndia ETF$47.71+0.4%-7.8%7.4%STRONG HOLD ✅
TMF3x Long Bonds$34.25-0.1%-5.4%7.1%WATCH 👀

Today = vs prev close. Since Entry = vs Jan 20, 2026. Weight = % of unit. ● = category. Prices via Finnhub.

Portfolio Allocation by Category

  • Infrastructure & Defense29.5%
  • Energy & Commodities27.2%
  • AI & Tech11.5%
  • Crypto Treasury9.1%
  • Emerging Markets15.7%
  • Bonds & Rates7.1%
TickerSectorSharesPrice$/UnitWeight
🏗️ Infrastructure & Defense — 29.5%
ETNInfrastructure×1$402.93$402.9320.8%
PPADefense ETF×1$167.39$167.398.7%
⚡ Energy & Commodities — 27.2%
NUGT3x Gold Miners×1$195.93$195.9310.1%
XLEEnergy/Oil×3$57.39$172.178.9%
URAUranium ETF×3$52.69$158.078.2%
🤖 AI & Tech — 11.5%
NVDAAI Chips×1$221.77$221.7711.5%
₿ Crypto Treasury — 9.1%
MSTRBitcoin Treasury×1$176.38$176.389.1%
🌏 Emerging Markets — 15.7%
EWWMexico ETF×2$80.05$160.108.3%
INDAIndia ETF×3$47.71$143.137.4%
📊 Bonds & Rates — 7.1%
TMF3x Long Bonds×4$34.25$137.007.1%
TOTAL UNIT VALUE$1,935100%
Entry: $1,920 on Jan 22, 2026  |  Current: $1,935  |  Since entry: +0.8%

Value/unit = shares × price. Weights at today's open prices.

Monthly Track Record

YrJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
19+7.6+0.9+2.5+0.2-0.8+5.5+1.5+3.6-1.6+1.3+1.1+1.525.3%
20+2.5-3.0-6.2-0.7+1.1+0.8+8.2+9.1-11.4-3.3+0.1+7.34.1%
21+4.7+1.3-7.9+10.6-4.4+9.7-5.1+4.0-4.3+19.8+0.5+1.725.8%
22+1.5-6.2+1.7-6.2-1.2-18.7+13.7+1.7-22.0+31.0+11.6+1.8-25.8%
23+12.3-12.4+9.8-1.8-13.9+13.2+0.2-4.4-10.8+0.7+13.2+14.014.7%
24+1.4+14.1+9.3+5.1+8.8-8.3+1.1-3.3+4.5-0.7+15.0-10.139.0%
25+5.8-2.5-4.3+1.8+4.9+5.0+4.0-1.4+5.7+0.1-8.7-2.17.4%
26+3%-3%-8%+10.0%-0.8%▲——————YTD

▲ Current month through today. YTD from Jan 22, 2026 entry.

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📊 Market Narrative — Wednesday, May 13, 2026

Safe Growth pulled back -1.1% today, bringing our unit price to $1,934.87. It's a red day across most of our holdings, but context matters: we're up +9.1% since the April 1st open and +0.8% since our January 22nd entry — May MTD is -0.8% on today's pullback. Today's weakness is macro-driven, not portfolio-specific, and the culprits are clear — a hot inflation print and escalating Middle East tensions are forcing a broad risk-off rotation across equities.

The headline that's moving everything: US CPI jumped to 3.8%, driven by surging energy costs tied directly to the Iran conflict. This is exactly what the Fed didn't want to see. Rate cut expectations for H2 2026 are getting repriced aggressively, and growth stocks are taking the hit. Meanwhile, President Trump's declaration that the US-Iran ceasefire is on "life support" is adding fuel to the fire — literally. Crude is climbing on supply risk premiums, which explains why our XLE position held relatively firm at -0.3% while high-beta names got crushed. The energy sector is acting as a hedge exactly when we need it.

Our biggest movers today tell the story of risk-off in action. NUGT dropped -4.3% to $195.93 as gold miners gave back recent gains, URA slid -3.1% to $52.69, and MSTR shed -4.4% to $176.38 as Bitcoin-correlated assets followed equities lower. The bright spots: Microsoft's double-beat earnings (revenue $82.89B vs. $81.3B expected, EPS $4.27 vs. $4.24) reconfirmed AI infrastructure demand, giving NVDA a +0.4% lift to $221.77. ETN ticked up +0.3% to $402.93 — our infrastructure anchor holding firm. The AI capex story has legs even in a risk-off tape.

Key Watch for the Rest of Today: Monitor 10-year Treasury yields closely — if they spike another 10-20 bps on the CPI fallout, expect continued pressure on growth names into the close. Watch any headlines from the Musk/Cook China delegation trip announced by the White House; trade policy curveballs could add volatility. Our TMF position (-0.1%) is holding steady for now, but bonds could get ugly if the market prices out more rate cuts. Also keep an eye on crude — if Brent breaks above $95, our XLE allocation becomes even more valuable as a portfolio stabilizer.

Our Stance: Hold. Today's drawdown is uncomfortable but not alarming. The inflation spike is energy-driven and likely transient if Iran tensions de-escalate. Our diversification across AI (NVDA), energy (XLE, NUGT, URA), defense (PPA, ETN), and emerging markets (INDA +0.4%, EWW +0.1%) is working as designed — we're not getting killed on a day when speculative tech is down 4-5%. No changes today. We ride this out and reassess if the Iran situation deteriorates further or if CPI prints above 4% next month. Stay patient, stay diversified.

AI Research: Claude Opus + Perplexity live intel | Rating: A+ | Wednesday, May 13, 2026

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This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.